Match Info

Liga ASOBAL - Round 27

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	LaLiga+


	Reale Ademar		Naturhouse La Rioja

	1	X	2
	3	8.5	1.65
	2.7	8	1.66
	2.74	7.55	1.67	Watch
	2.63	7.5	1.67
	2.54	8.8	1.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.47)	8.07 ↓ (9.13)	1.68 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reale Ademar
33.8%

Draw
11.4%

Naturhouse La Rioja
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

10%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

10.9%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reale Ademar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Naturhouse La Rioja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reale Ademar than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Reale Ademar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naturhouse La Rioja than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Naturhouse La Rioja, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Reale Ademar - Naturhouse La Rioja Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:32

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Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ European League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ademar won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

La Rioja may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

La Rioja is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ademar won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 599:616. (average 30:30.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Ademar won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 297:305. (average 29.7:30.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
3	La Rioja	5	4	0	1	175:172	8
13	Ademar	4	1	0	3	136:141	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reale Ademar
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
26.04.26	Torrelavega - Reale Ademar	40:33 ✺
17.04.26	Reale Ademar - Quabit Guadalajara	34:31 ✺
10.04.26	Barcelona - Reale Ademar	48:31 ✺
05.04.26	Reale Ademar - BM Huesca	33:33 ✺
29.03.26	Nava - Reale Ademar	28:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLTW
- Naturhouse La Rioja Logrono
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
26.04.26	Naturhouse La Rioja - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	31:24 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey Handball
22.04.26	BM Ciudad Encantada - Naturhouse La Rioja	31:30 ✺
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
18.04.26	Caserio Ciudad Real - Naturhouse La Rioja	28:33 ✺
11.04.26	Naturhouse La Rioja - Bidasoa Irun	32:34 ✺
03.04.26	BM Granollers - Naturhouse La Rioja	24:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga ASOBAL
06.12.25	Naturhouse La Rioja - Reale Ademar	33:33
01.06.25	Naturhouse La Rioja - Reale Ademar	30:29
22.12.24	Reale Ademar - Naturhouse La Rioja	30:38
25.05.24	Reale Ademar - Naturhouse La Rioja	33:33
13.12.23	Naturhouse La Rioja - Reale Ademar	37:34
11.02.23	Naturhouse La Rioja - Reale Ademar	30:30
10.09.22	Reale Ademar - Naturhouse La Rioja	34:38

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