Match Info

EUROPE: European League - Group Stage - Round 4

Date: 29 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Palacio de los Deportes de León (León)


	Reale Ademar		GOG

	1	X	2
	3.2	8.5	1.47
	3.5	10	1.44
	3.35	9	1.45
	3.29	8.82	1.49	Watch
	3.3	9	1.4
	3.5	8.6	1.46
	3.35	9	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (2.61)	8.99 ↑ (8.55)	1.45 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reale Ademar
27.1%

Draw
10.1%

GOG
62.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

10.6%

54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

10.1%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reale Ademar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Reale Ademar's form might have worsened.

GOG has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting GOG's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reale Ademar than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Reale Ademar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GOG than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for GOG, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Reale Ademar - GOG Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ademar will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). GOG will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:33

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Lineups


4. Alvarez C.	71. Blonz A.
1. Barkhordari S.	64. Boutaf S.
73. Benites R.	15. Grondahl T.
13. Doval R.	9. Jakobsen H.
9. Fernandez A.	12. Johannesson P.
66. Fernandez E.	21. Kildelund K.
2. Lindqvist O.	66. Lindskog A.
33. Martin A.	29. Lykke H.
3. Minabres J.	23. Lyng J.
24. Mohamed M.	13. Nielsen A.
30. Montero A.	3. Pedersen N.
16. Perez Mendez A.	37. Persson L.
10. Perez R.	8. Tilsted F.
14. Vidan S.	7. Vilhelmsen L. S.
7. Wasiak P.
17. Zapico A.

Preview

Recent matches Ademar is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

GOG is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ademar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match GOG is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's GOG to win the game is with odds 1.46.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ademar won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 23:36

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reale Ademar
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
26.10.24	Reale Ademar - Torrelavega	28:35 ✺
EHF European League
22.10.24	GOG - Reale Ademar	36:23 ✺
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
18.10.24	Reale Ademar - BM Ciudad Encantada	33:32 ✺
EHF European League
15.10.24	Reale Ademar - Gorenje Velenje	32:24 ✺
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
12.10.24	Bidasoa Irun - Reale Ademar	22:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LLWWW
- GOG Håndbold
Danish Handbold Ligaen
25.10.24	Nordsjælland - GOG	30:30 ✺
EHF European League
22.10.24	GOG - Reale Ademar	36:23 ✺
Danish Handbold Ligaen
19.10.24	GOG - Sønderjysk Elite	30:29 ✺
EHF European League
15.10.24	GOG - HC Kriens-Luzern	39:36 ✺
Danish Handbold Ligaen
11.10.24	KIF Kolding - GOG	23:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

EHF European League
22.10.24	GOG - Reale Ademar	36:23

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