Match Info

EUROPE: European League - Group Stage - Round 2

Date: 15 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Palacio de los Deportes de León (León)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	Arena Sport 1


	Reale Ademar		Gorenje Velenje

	1	X	2
	1.52	8	3	Watch
	1.5	11	3.1
	1.5	9.54	3.27	Watch
	1.55	8.37	3.1	Watch
	1.5	9	3.2
	1.56	8.2	3.1
	1.5	9.54	3.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.36)	9.09 ↓ (9.23)	3.15 ↓ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reale Ademar
60.6%

Draw
10.1%

Gorenje Velenje
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

9.9%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

10%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reale Ademar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Reale Ademar's form might have worsened.

Gorenje Velenje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gorenje Velenje's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reale Ademar than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Reale Ademar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorenje Velenje than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gorenje Velenje, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Reale Ademar - Gorenje Velenje Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:29

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Lineups


4. Alvarez C.	28. Blagotinsek A.
37. Alvaro F. A.	20. Drobez J.
1. Barkhordari S.	13. Jezernik T.
73. Benites R.	77. Loncaric F.
13. Doval R.	14. Maricic G.
9. Fernandez A.	11. Matanovic V.
66. Fernandez E.	10. Pipp U.
2. Lindqvist O.	21. Poklar T.
3. Minabres J.	1. Skok M.
24. Mohamed M.	24. Sokolic T.
16. Perez Mendez A.	22. Starman N.
10. Perez R.	32. Taletovic E.
8. Sanz D.	23. Tatar M.
14. Vidan S.	9. Velic T.
7. Wasiak P.	55. Yankovskyy A.
17. Zapico A.

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Gorenje could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ademar is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ademar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 98:103 (average 24.5:25.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Ademar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 51:50 (average 25.5:25).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reale Ademar
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
12.10.24	Bidasoa Irun - Reale Ademar	22:27 ✺
EHF European League
08.10.24	HC Kriens-Luzern - Reale Ademar	34:30 ✺
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
04.10.24	Reale Ademar - BM Huesca	23:25 ✺
22.09.24	Reale Ademar - Villa de Aranda	30:25 ✺
14.09.24	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Reale Ademar	29:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLLWW
- RK Gorenje Velenje
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
12.10.24	RK Koper - Gorenje Velenje	24:25 ✺
EHF European League
08.10.24	Gorenje Velenje - GOG	35:35 ✺
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
05.10.24	Gorenje Velenje - Krško	34:25 ✺
02.10.24	Celje Pivovarna Laško - Gorenje Velenje	29:27 ✺
27.09.24	Gorenje Velenje - Trimo Trebnje	23:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

EHF European League
29.02.20	Gorenje Velenje - Reale Ademar	30:25
22.02.20	Reale Ademar - Gorenje Velenje	23:26
EHF Champions League
11.11.17	Reale Ademar - Gorenje Velenje	28:24
17.09.17	Gorenje Velenje - Reale Ademar	23:22

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