Match Info

Date: 23 February 2021, Tuesday


	Reale Ademar		Wisła Płock

	1	X	2
	2.9	8	1.57	Watch
	2.9	9	1.6
	2.7	7	1.76	Watch
	2.75	8.4	1.62
	2.75	8.5	1.62
	2.81	8.6	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (1.88)	8.25 ↑ (7.83)	1.64 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 53.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reale Ademar
32.8%

Draw
11.2%

Wisła Płock
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

11.7%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

10.3%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reale Ademar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Reale Ademar's form might have worsened.

Wisła Płock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wisła Płock's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reale Ademar than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Reale Ademar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wisła Płock, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.8%	2.6%	81.6%

Reale Ademar - Wisła Płock Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Ademar will win (votes: 6 - 15.8%). Wisła Płock will win (votes: 31 - 81.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 2.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wisła Płock: 69.3% – 93.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:28

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Preview

Recent matches Ademar is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Wisła Płock in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Wisła Płock could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Ademar have a series of guest games.

Wisła Płock will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ademar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 72-78.

Including matches at home between the teams Ademar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 27-24.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reale Ademar
EHF European League
20.02.21	Wisła Płock - Reale Ademar	29:22 ✺
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
17.02.21	Villa de Aranda - Reale Ademar	24:31 ✺
11.02.21	BM Huesca - Reale Ademar	27:24 ✺
EHF European League
09.02.21	Reale Ademar - Chekhovskie Medvedi	33:32 ✺
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
06.02.21	Benidorm - Reale Ademar	34:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLWL
- Wisła Płock Handball
EHF European League
20.02.21	Wisła Płock - Reale Ademar	29:22 ✺
16.02.21	Wisła Płock - Metalurg Skopje	35:20 ✺
14.02.21	Metalurg Skopje - Wisła Płock	19:38 ✺
Polish Superliga Handball
11.02.21	Wisła Płock - MMTS Kwidzyn	34:17 ✺
EHF European League
09.02.21	Fivers Margareten - Wisła Płock	22:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

EHF European League
20.02.21	Wisła Płock - Reale Ademar	29:22
EHF Champions League
24.11.18	Wisła Płock - Reale Ademar	25:23
06.10.18	Reale Ademar - Wisła Płock	27:24

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