Match Info

2. Bundesliga Women - Round 28

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday


	Regensburg		Mainz

	1	X	2
	1.6	7.8	2.9
	1.54	7.7	3.13	Watch
	1.49	9.3	3.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.76)	8.27 ↓ (9.91)	3.1 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Regensburg
59.3%

Draw
11.1%

Mainz
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

8.4%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Regensburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Regensburg's performance.

Mainz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mainz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Regensburg than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mainz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Regensburg - Mainz Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Regensburg will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:28

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Regensburg won 2.

Regensburg is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mainz has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Regensburg won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 240:250. (average 26.7:27.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Regensburg won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 111:107. (average 27.8:26.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	Mainz W	5	5	0	0	166:139	10
7	Regensburg W	4	3	0	1	122:97	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ESV 1927 Regensburg
German 2 Bundesliga Handball Women
09.05.26	Lintfort - Regensburg	25:31 ✺
02.05.26	Regensburg - Bergischer	33:22 ✺
25.04.26	Füchse Berlin - Regensburg	39:32 ✺
18.04.26	Regensburg - Buchholz 08-Rosengarten	39:32 ✺
04.04.26	Nürtingen - Regensburg	28:36 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWLWW
- Mainz 05 Handball Women
German 2 Bundesliga Handball Women
09.05.26	Mainz - Bayer Leverkusen	28:29 ✺
02.05.26	Solingen Gräfrath - Mainz	27:26 ✺
25.04.26	Mainz - Waiblingen	26:33 ✺
18.04.26	Werder Bremen - Mainz	30:32 ✺
04.04.26	Mainz - Rostocker	32:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga Handball Women
10.01.26	Mainz - Regensburg	27:29
15.02.25	Mainz - Regensburg	30:24
12.10.24	Regensburg - Mainz	25:22
23.03.24	Regensburg - Mainz	25:26
04.11.23	Mainz - Regensburg	29:21
11.02.23	Mainz - Regensburg	29:25
17.09.22	Regensburg - Mainz	28:28

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