Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPEAN CUP - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday


	Riihimäki Cocks		Bern Muri

	1	X	2
	1.62	9.5	2.65
	1.65	8.35	2.6
	1.53	8.5	2.8
	1.62	8.1	2.84
	1.63	8.4	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.44)	8.57 ↓ (8.83)	2.74 ↓ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Riihimäki Cocks
56.3%

Draw
10.6%

Bern Muri
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

10.3%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

9.7%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Riihimäki Cocks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Riihimäki Cocks's form might have worsened.

Bern Muri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bern Muri's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Riihimäki Cocks than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Riihimäki Cocks, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bern Muri than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bern Muri, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Riihimäki Cocks - Bern Muri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:28

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Preview

1st leg.

Cocks is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Bern is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bern could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cocks is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Cocks to win the game is with odds 1.44.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Riihimäki Cocks
Finnish Liiga Handball
07.10.23	Riihimäki Cocks - Grankulla IFK	28:30 ✺
04.10.23	BK-46 - Riihimäki Cocks	29:38 ✺
23.09.23	Riihimäki Cocks - Åbo IFK	39:26 ✺
19.09.23	Dicken - Riihimäki Cocks	25:32 ✺
16.09.23	Riihimäki Cocks - HIFK	39:35 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWWW
- BSV Bern Muri
Swiss NLA Handball
11.10.23	Wacker Thun - Bern Muri	29:28 ✺
08.10.23	Pfadi Winterthur - Bern Muri	27:29 ✺
05.10.23	Bern Muri - TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	28:34 ✺
01.10.23	Bern Muri - Amicitia Zurich	27:24 ✺
27.09.23	HC Kriens-Luzern - Bern Muri	29:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWLWL

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