Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 30

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday


	SC DHfK Leipzig		Erlangen

	1	X	2
	1.85	7.5	2.5
	1.62	8	3.05
	1.79	7.8	2.43
	1.95	6.82	2.3	Watch
	1.83	7	2.38
	1.88	8.6	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.78)	7.62 ↑ (7.5)	2.49 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SC DHfK Leipzig
50.7%

Draw
12.1%

Erlangen
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

12.7%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

12.5%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SC DHfK Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Erlangen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SC DHfK Leipzig than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erlangen than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

SC DHfK Leipzig - Erlangen Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Leipzig will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Erlangen will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:30

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leipzig won 4.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Leipzig may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Leipzig could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Leipzig won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 476:468. (average 25.1:24.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Leipzig won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 234:197. (average 26:21.9).

Outrights of German Bundesliga Handball for now

Erlangen: 0.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
10	Erlangen	7	3	1	3	209:208	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC DHfK Leipzig Handball
German Bundesliga Handball
25.04.26	THW Kiel - SC DHfK Leipzig	28:28 ✺
16.04.26	SC DHfK Leipzig - Gummersbach	31:37 ✺
09.04.26	SC DHfK Leipzig - Frisch Auf Göppingen	29:34 ✺
05.04.26	Füchse Berlin - SC DHfK Leipzig	39:26 ✺
29.03.26	SC DHfK Leipzig - Eisenach	29:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TLLLT
- HC Erlangen
German Bundesliga Handball
25.04.26	Erlangen - HSV Hamburg	23:31 ✺
12.04.26	Magdeburg - Erlangen	35:31 ✺
05.04.26	Erlangen - Rhein-Neckar Löwen	29:27 ✺
29.03.26	Frisch Auf Göppingen - Erlangen	27:24 ✺
15.03.26	Füchse Berlin - Erlangen	45:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Handball
13.12.25	Erlangen - SC DHfK Leipzig	30:26
15.05.25	Erlangen - SC DHfK Leipzig	23:25
14.10.24	SC DHfK Leipzig - Erlangen	32:25
21.04.24	Erlangen - SC DHfK Leipzig	26:29
03.12.23	SC DHfK Leipzig - Erlangen	20:19
23.03.23	Erlangen - SC DHfK Leipzig	36:32
22.09.22	SC DHfK Leipzig - Erlangen	32:29

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