Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 29

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday


	Erlangen		HSV Hamburg

	1	X	2
	2.05	7.5	2.25
	1.99	7.4	2.15
	2.04	6.9	2.19	Watch
	2	7.5	2.1
	2.01	8.7	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.95)	7.6 ↓ (8.17)	2.16 (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erlangen
45.4%

Draw
12.1%

HSV Hamburg
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

11.1%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

11.8%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erlangen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

HSV Hamburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erlangen than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HSV Hamburg than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Erlangen - HSV Hamburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Hamburg will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Erlangen won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Erlangen won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 309:335. (average 28.1:30.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Erlangen won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 151:145. (average 30.2:29).

Outrights of German Bundesliga Handball for now

Erlangen: 0.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
10	Erlangen	7	3	1	3	209:208	7
15	Hamburg	7	1	1	5	220:229	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Erlangen
German Bundesliga Handball
12.04.26	Magdeburg - Erlangen	35:31 ✺
05.04.26	Erlangen - Rhein-Neckar Löwen	29:27 ✺
29.03.26	Frisch Auf Göppingen - Erlangen	27:24 ✺
15.03.26	Füchse Berlin - Erlangen	45:29 ✺
08.03.26	Erlangen - GWD Minden	36:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWLLW
- HSV Hamburg
German Bundesliga Handball
12.04.26	HSV Hamburg - THW Kiel	27:34 ✺
05.04.26	GWD Minden - HSV Hamburg	29:30 ✺
26.03.26	HSV Hamburg - Bergischer	34:35 ✺
13.03.26	Hannover-Burgdorf - HSV Hamburg	35:37 ✺
26.02.26	TBV Lemgo - HSV Hamburg	39:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Handball
23.11.25	HSV Hamburg - Erlangen	34:26
16.02.25	Erlangen - HSV Hamburg	29:35
24.11.24	HSV Hamburg - Erlangen	28:27
16.02.24	Erlangen - HSV Hamburg	30:28
17.11.23	HSV Hamburg - Erlangen	31:23
19.03.23	HSV Hamburg - Erlangen	33:29
10.11.22	Erlangen - HSV Hamburg	35:29

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