Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 7

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Ukraine	Sport 2


	SC DHfK Leipzig		Flensburg-Handewitt

	1	X	2
	7	12	1.2
	6.5	16	1.18
	5.4	12	1.2
				Watch
	5.25	12.5	1.22
	5.8	14	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.99 ↑ (4.42)	13.3 ↑ (9.37)	1.2 ↓ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SC DHfK Leipzig
15.6%

Draw
7%

Flensburg-Handewitt
77.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21%

9.9%

69.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

10.3%

66.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SC DHfK Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SC DHfK Leipzig's form might have worsened.

Flensburg-Handewitt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Flensburg-Handewitt's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SC DHfK Leipzig than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SC DHfK Leipzig, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flensburg-Handewitt than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Flensburg-Handewitt, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

SC DHfK Leipzig - Flensburg Handewitt Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Flensburg-Handewitt will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Leipzig (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:34

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leipzig won 0.

Recent form of Leipzig has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Flensburg-Handewitt is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Flensburg-Handewitt is the clear favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Leipzig won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 482:567. (average 25.4:29.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Leipzig won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 237:255. (average 26.3:28.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC DHfK Leipzig Handball
German DHB Pokal
01.10.25	Frisch Auf Göppingen - SC DHfK Leipzig	26:28 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
27.09.25	Rhein-Neckar Löwen - SC DHfK Leipzig	30:24 ✺
21.09.25	SC DHfK Leipzig - THW Kiel	34:41 ✺
11.09.25	Frisch Auf Göppingen - SC DHfK Leipzig	24:24 ✺
07.09.25	SC DHfK Leipzig - HSG Wetzlar	24:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLTL
- SG Flensburg-Handewitt
German DHB Pokal
01.10.25	Rhein-Neckar Löwen - Flensburg-Handewitt	32:38 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
28.09.25	Flensburg-Handewitt - Frisch Auf Göppingen	32:26 ✺
21.09.25	Bergischer - Flensburg-Handewitt	33:43 ✺
15.09.25	Flensburg-Handewitt - Hannover-Burgdorf	37:29 ✺
08.09.25	GWD Minden - Flensburg-Handewitt	27:40 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Handball
17.04.25	SC DHfK Leipzig - Flensburg-Handewitt	31:33
03.11.24	Flensburg-Handewitt - SC DHfK Leipzig	35:29
26.04.24	SC DHfK Leipzig - Flensburg-Handewitt	32:35
11.10.23	Flensburg-Handewitt - SC DHfK Leipzig	34:24
06.04.23	Flensburg-Handewitt - SC DHfK Leipzig	30:27
04.12.22	SC DHfK Leipzig - Flensburg-Handewitt	31:30
06.03.22	SC DHfK Leipzig - Flensburg-Handewitt	25:24

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