The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
SC DHfK Leipzig 14.9%
Draw 8.5%
THW Kiel 76.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.6%
11.1%
65.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.3%
11.4%
63.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SC DHfK Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SC DHfK Leipzig's form might have worsened.
THW Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting THW Kiel's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for SC DHfK Leipzig than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SC DHfK Leipzig, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for THW Kiel than the current prediction. (-13.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for THW Kiel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
0%
87.5%
SC DHfK Leipzig - THW Kiel Predictions
Users Predictions:
THW Kiel will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): THW Kiel will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:32
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leipzig won 2.
Recent form of Leipzig has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Kiel is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Leipzig may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Kiel is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leipzig won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 515:618. (average 25.8:30.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Leipzig won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 237:275. (average 26.3:30.6).
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