Match Info

DENMARK: HERRE HANDBOLD LIGAEN - WINNERS STAGE - ROUND 6

Date: 14 May 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV2 Sport


	Skanderborg Aarhus		Fredericia

	1	X	2
	2.3	8	1.95
	2.1	8	2.1
	2.25	7.5	2
	2.1	8	2
	2.11	9.4	2.02
	2.16	8.4	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.66)	8.22 ↓ (8.52)	2.01 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.50

The most likely Handicap: (0)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skanderborg Aarhus
42.6%

Draw
11.3%

Fredericia
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

10.9%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

11.5%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skanderborg Aarhus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Skanderborg Aarhus's form might have worsened.

Fredericia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fredericia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skanderborg Aarhus than the current prediction. (+16.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Skanderborg Aarhus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredericia than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fredericia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Skanderborg Aarhus - Fredericia Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Skanderborg Aarhus will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Fredericia will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fredericia: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:30

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Preview

Skanderborg Aarhus is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fredericia is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Skanderborg Aarhus won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 137-132.

Including matches at home between the teams Skanderborg Aarhus won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 68-57.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Skanderborg Aarhus
Danish Handbold Ligaen
07.05.23	Bjerringbro SV - Skanderborg Aarhus	28:24 ✺
04.05.23	Skanderborg Aarhus - GOG	34:32 ✺
22.04.23	Fredericia - Skanderborg Aarhus	26:23 ✺
18.04.23	GOG - Skanderborg Aarhus	34:34 ✺
14.04.23	Skanderborg Aarhus - Bjerringbro SV	23:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWLTL
- Fredericia Håndbold
Danish Handbold Ligaen
07.05.23	GOG - Fredericia	33:33 ✺
04.05.23	Fredericia - Bjerringbro SV	34:27 ✺
22.04.23	Fredericia - Skanderborg Aarhus	26:23 ✺
18.04.23	Bjerringbro SV - Fredericia	33:35 ✺
12.04.23	Fredericia - GOG	34:35 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.7 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Danish Handbold Ligaen
22.04.23	Fredericia - Skanderborg Aarhus	26:23
15.11.22	Skanderborg Aarhus - Fredericia	33:25
02.09.22	Fredericia - Skanderborg Aarhus	24:22
30.12.21	Fredericia - Skanderborg Aarhus	25:24
23.11.21	Skanderborg Aarhus - Fredericia	35:32

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