Match Info

DENMARK: 1. DIVISION - ROUND 12

Date: 26 November 2023, Sunday


	Skovbakken		Tønder

	1	X	2
	2.39	7.6	1.88
	2.3	7.5	1.8
	2.32	7.8	1.87
	2.36	8	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.32)	7.73 ↓ (7.83)	1.85 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skovbakken
38.9%

Draw
11.8%

Tønder
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

11.7%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

12.2%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skovbakken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Tønder has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skovbakken than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tønder than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Skovbakken - Tønder Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:31

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Skovbakken won 4.

Skovbakken has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Tønder is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Skovbakken could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Skovbakken won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 220-197.

Including matches at home between the teams Skovbakken won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 91-87.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IK Skovbakken Handball
Danish 1 Division Handball
16.11.23	Midtjylland - Skovbakken	41:26 ✺
12.11.23	Skovbakken - FIF	35:41 ✺
28.10.23	Rækker Mølle - Skovbakken	32:28 ✺
22.10.23	Skovbakken - Odder HB	25:28 ✺
12.10.23	Skive FH - Skovbakken	32:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- TM Tønder Håndbold
Danish 1 Division Handball
19.11.23	Tønder - HØJ	28:36 ✺
12.11.23	Sydhavsøerne - Tønder	24:26 ✺
29.10.23	Tønder - Køge	28:22 ✺
20.10.23	Tønder - Midtjylland	25:27 ✺
14.10.23	FIF - Tønder	24:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division Handball
22.01.23	Skovbakken - Tønder	25:25
18.09.22	Tønder - Skovbakken	30:41
26.03.22	Tønder - Skovbakken	28:31
20.11.21	Skovbakken - Tønder	31:30
04.04.21	Skovbakken - Tønder	35:32
21.11.20	Tønder - Skovbakken	27:28
16.11.19	Tønder - Skovbakken	25:29

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