Match Info

EHF Euro

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Malmö Arena (Malmö)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	ORF Sport+
Croatia	Voyo
Czech-republic	CT sport Plus
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport, TV2 Sport X
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Sports MAX 6
Georgia	Silk Sport 2
Hungary	M4 Sport
Iceland	RUV
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
North-macedonia	MRT 1, MRT Play
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Poland	HBO Max
Portugal	RTP Play
Slovakia	JOJ Play, JOJ Sport 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1, Slovenia TV2
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play


	Slovenia		Iceland

	1	X	2
	3.6	9	1.5	Watch
	3.7	9.8	1.38	Watch
	4.37	8.75	1.39	Watch
	3.75	9.5	1.4
	3.69	9.8	1.41	Watch
	3.8	11	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.82 ↑ (3.25)	9.64 ↑ (9.12)	1.42 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 60.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Slovenia
24.4%

Draw
9.7%

Iceland
65.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

10.2%

61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

10.4%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slovenia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Iceland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slovenia than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iceland than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Iceland, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Slovenia - Iceland Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4.5 - Iceland (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Iceland will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Iceland will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Iceland (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:32

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Lineups


1. Baznik J.	21. Arnarsson A.
30. Cokan T.	24. Einarsson T.
36. Grbic L.	8. Elisson B.
28. Grmsek T.	11. Gislason Y.
5. Henigman N.	15. Gunnarsson T.
27. Horzen K.	1. Gustavsson B.
8. Janc B.	16. Hallgrimsson V.
19. Jovicic S.	10. Kristjansson G.
20. Kodrin T.	7. Kristjansson V.
51. Mackovsek B.	14. Magnusson O.
24. Makuc A.	27. Olafsson E.
35. Makuc D.	2. Rikhardsson O.
77. Novak D.	3. Smarason J.
95. Suholeznik M.	19. Thorkelsson O.
14. Tajnik D.	25. Thrastarson H.
16. Vujovic M.	18. Vidarsson E.
Coaches
. Zorman U.	. Gudjonsson S. S.

Preview

Slovenia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Iceland is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Iceland is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Slovenia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 140:142. (average 28:28.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Slovenia handball
Handball European Championship
27.01.26	Slovenia - Croatia	25:29 ✺
25.01.26	Slovenia - Hungary	35:32 ✺
23.01.26	Slovenia - Sweden	31:35 ✺
20.01.26	Slovenia - Faroe Islands	30:27 ✺
18.01.26	Switzerland - Slovenia	35:38 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLWW
- Iceland handball
Handball European Championship
27.01.26	Switzerland - Iceland	38:38 ✺
25.01.26	Iceland - Sweden	35:27 ✺
23.01.26	Iceland - Croatia	29:30 ✺
20.01.26	Hungary - Iceland	23:24 ✺
18.01.26	Poland - Iceland	23:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Handball World Championship
20.01.25	Slovenia - Iceland	18:23
Handball European Championship
17.01.20	Slovenia - Iceland	30:27
Handball World Championship
14.01.17	Iceland - Slovenia	25:26
Friendly International Handball
11.01.15	Iceland - Slovenia	32:32
Handball European Championship
07.04.13	Iceland - Slovenia	35:34

Slovenia - Iceland: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide