Match Info

1. NLB Liga - Round 16

Date: 17 December 2025, Wednesday


	Ribnica		Slovenj Gradec

	1	X	2
	3.45	8.2	1.45
	4.07	8.15	1.36	Watch
	2.63	8.5	1.62
	3.16	9.4	1.51
	3	8.5	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (2.08)	8.55 ↑ (8.5)	1.49 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ribnica
28%

Draw
10.7%

Slovenj Gradec
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

10.6%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

10%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ribnica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ribnica's form might have worsened.

Slovenj Gradec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Slovenj Gradec's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ribnica than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ribnica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slovenj Gradec than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Slovenj Gradec, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ribnica - Slovenj Gradec Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:33

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ribnica won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Ribnica has had a series of away games.

Slovenj Gradec might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Ribnica won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 472:445. (average 31.5:29.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Ribnica won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 214:194. (average 30.6:27.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RD Riko Ribnica
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
13.12.25	Škofja Loka - Ribnica	37:25 ✺
06.12.25	Ribnica - Ivančna Gorica	27:30 ✺
29.11.25	Krka - Ribnica	29:30 ✺
22.11.25	Radovljica - Ribnica	28:30 ✺
14.11.25	Gorenje Velenje - Ribnica	27:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LLWWL
- RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
13.12.25	Slovenj Gradec - Gorenje Velenje	26:30 ✺
06.12.25	Celje Pivovarna Laško - Slovenj Gradec	37:36 ✺
29.11.25	Slovenj Gradec - Jeruzalem Ormož	33:27 ✺
22.11.25	Škofljica - Slovenj Gradec	28:29 ✺
12.11.25	Trimo Trebnje - Slovenj Gradec	31:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
01.10.25	Slovenj Gradec - Ribnica	39:36
26.04.25	Slovenj Gradec - Ribnica	33:26
28.03.25	Ribnica - Slovenj Gradec	27:29
14.12.24	Ribnica - Slovenj Gradec	32:27
02.10.24	Slovenj Gradec - Ribnica	32:30
23.03.24	Ribnica - Slovenj Gradec	35:32
20.10.23	Slovenj Gradec - Ribnica	33:37

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