Match Info

WORLD: World Championship

Date: 26 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Unity Arena (Oslo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Brazil	SporTV 2
Denmark	DR 2, DR TV
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Sports MAX 6
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Slovakia	STVR Sport
Spain	RTVE Play
Sweden	TV6, Viaplay


	Spain		Brazil

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.25	12	5.25	Watch
				Watch
	1.25	11	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.55)	11.5 ↑ (8.75)	5 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spain
73.6%

Draw
8%

Brazil
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

10.6%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

11.1%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spain's performance.

Brazil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brazil might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spain than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spain that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brazil than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brazil could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Spain - Brazil Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Spain will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Brazil will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spain: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:27

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Lineups


34. Alvarez C.	15. Alves L.
80. Barrufet I.	27. Antonio Da Silva M.
8. Casado A.	88. Borges G.
78. Cikusa Jelicic D.	57. Carvalho V.
15. Cikusa Jelicic P.	97. Cristian M.
10. Dujshebaev A.	75. Da Silva D.
70. Fernandez D.	99. Dupoux J.
18. Garciandia I.	94. Filho A.
7. Gurri J.	77. Hackbarth R.
25. Hernandez S.	37. Langaro H.
1. Perez de Vargas G.	16. Luan da Rosa R.
37. Romero V.	7. Matos J.
51. Sanchez-Migallon M.	26. Monte B.
20. Serdio A.	80. Oliveira E.
14. Sole F.	47. Pinheiro R.
9. Tarrafeta I.	95. Rodrigues G.
Coaches
. Ribera J.	. Oliveira M.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Spain won 4.

Recent matches Spain is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Brazil is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Spain is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Spain won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 258:216 (average 32.3:27).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spain handball
Handball World Championship
24.01.25	Spain - Portugal	29:35 ✺
22.01.25	Norway - Spain	25:24 ✺
20.01.25	Sweden - Spain	29:29 ✺
18.01.25	Spain - Japan	39:20 ✺
16.01.25	Spain - Chile	31:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTWW
- Brazil handball
Handball World Championship
24.01.25	Sweden - Brazil	24:27 ✺
22.01.25	Brazil - Chile	28:24 ✺
19.01.25	Brazil - USA	31:24 ✺
17.01.25	Portugal - Brazil	30:26 ✺
15.01.25	Norway - Brazil	26:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Olympic Games - Handball
17.03.24	Spain - Brazil	28:26
28.07.21	Brazil - Spain	25:32
Handball World Championship
15.01.21	Spain - Brazil	29:29
21.01.19	Spain - Brazil	36:24
21.01.17	Brazil - Spain	27:28
Friendly International Handball
09.01.16	Spain - Brazil	37:30
Handball World Championship
17.01.15	Brazil - Spain	27:29

Spain - Brazil: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide