Match Info

EHF Euro

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Jyske Bank Boxen (Herning)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	CT sport Plus
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Sports MAX 4
Hungary	M4 Sport
Norway	TV3, Viaplay
Spain	RTVE Play, Teledeporte
Sweden	Viaplay


	Spain		Norway

	1	X	2
	2.15	8	2.1	Watch
	2.1	8.25	2.1
	2.25	7.8	1.9	Watch
	2.1	7.04	2.24	Watch
	2.1	8	2.1
	2.22	8.7	1.91
	2.05	8.5	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (3.12)	8.04 ↓ (8.28)	2.08 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spain
43.6%

Draw
11.6%

Norway
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

11.3%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

11.1%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spain's performance.

Norway has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Norway might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spain than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spain that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norway than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Norway could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	0%	45.5%

Spain - Norway Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Spain will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Norway will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spain: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Spain (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Norway (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 58.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:30

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Lineups


80. Barrufet I.	3. Aga V.
53. Biosca I.	35. Anderson P.
10. Dujshebaev A.	71. Blonz A.
24. Dujshebaev D.	29. Fredriksen M.
70. Fernandez D.	22. Grondahl T.
22. Fis M.	44. Gulliksen K.
18. Garciandia I.	1. Haug R.
28. Gomez A.	25. Hovde M.
7. Gurri J.	31. Lien K.
25. Hernandez S.	43. Lyse S.
11. Odriozola K.	40. Pedersen A.
37. Romero V.	10. Ronningen V.
20. Serdio A.	5. Sagosen S.
5. Serradilla A.	45. Schonningsen S.
33. Suarez N.	30. Sittrup-Bergerud T.
9. Tarrafeta I.	32. Solstad T.
Coaches
. Ribera J.	. Wille J.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spain won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Spain won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 441:426. (average 29.4:28.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spain handball
Handball European Championship
19.01.26	Germany - Spain	34:32 ✺
17.01.26	Austria - Spain	25:30 ✺
15.01.26	Spain - Serbia	29:27 ✺
Friendly International Handball
11.01.26	Spain - Portugal	31:34 ✺
10.01.26	Spain - Tunisia	37:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWLW
- Norway handball
Handball European Championship
19.01.26	France - Norway	38:34 ✺
17.01.26	Czech Republic - Norway	25:29 ✺
15.01.26	Norway - Ukraine	39:22 ✺
Friendly International Handball
10.01.26	Netherlands - Norway	30:33 ✺
08.01.26	Norway - Denmark	26:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Handball World Championship
22.01.25	Norway - Spain	25:24
Friendly International Handball
11.01.25	Spain - Norway	33:31
18.07.24	Norway - Spain	35:29
16.07.24	Norway - Spain	35:29
Golden League Handball - Norway
05.11.23	Norway - Spain	31:29
Handball World Championship
25.01.23	Norway - Spain	34:35 OT
Golden League Handball - Denmark
20.03.22	Norway - Spain	26:26

Spain - Norway: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide