Match Info

Champions League

Date: 13 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Pavilhão João Rocha (Lisbon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	Sporting TV


	Sporting Lisbon		Füchse Berlin

	1	X	2
	3.3	9	1.52	Watch
	3	8.4	1.54
	2.93	10	1.66	Watch
	3.25	8.8	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↓ (3.3)	9.05 ↑ (8.9)	1.57 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 66.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon
30%

Draw
10.3%

Füchse Berlin
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

10.4%

61.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

10.7%

59.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Füchse Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Füchse Berlin aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Sporting Lisbon - Füchse Berlin Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5, OT - Sporting (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Sporting (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Füchse Berlin will win (20 of 20 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Füchse Berlin will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Füchse Berlin (votes: 15 - 88.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:34

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Lineups


5. Alvarez C.	11. Andersson L.
92. Aly M.	14. Arino A.
3. Berlin E.	5. Darj M.
6. Costa F.	20. Freihofer T.
79. Costa M.	19. Gidsel M.
19. Gassama M.	15. Grondahl T.
26. Graca F.	35. Gunther M.
8. Gurri J.	36. Kofler G.
20. Kristensen A.	25. Langhoff M.
9. Martinez P.	1. Ludwig L.
44. Moga C.	93. Marsenic M.
2. Oliviera E.	96. Milosavljev D.
13. Rocha S.	24. Pichiri L.
93. Romero V.	23. Reichardt W.
7. Suarez N.	38. Schroder T.
17. Thorkelsson O.	34. Teigum H.

Preview

Sporting is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Füchse Berlin is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sporting may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Füchse Berlin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Füchse Berlin will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 150:154. (average 30:30.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Sporting won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 67:61. (average 33.5:30.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon Handball
Portuguese Andebol 1
08.11.25	Vitoria Guimarães - Sporting Lisbon	25:40 ✺
EHF Champions League
22.10.25	Kolstad - Sporting Lisbon	30:34 ✺
Portuguese Andebol 1
19.10.25	Póvoa - Sporting Lisbon	18:34 ✺
EHF Champions League
16.10.25	Sporting Lisbon - Veszprém	33:32 ✺
Portuguese Andebol 1
11.10.25	Sporting Lisbon - Colegio de Gaia	45:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWWW
- Füchse Berlin
German Bundesliga Handball
09.11.25	SC DHfK Leipzig - Füchse Berlin	26:34 ✺
German DHB Pokal
06.11.25	Füchse Berlin - Eisenach	38:22 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
26.10.25	Füchse Berlin - HSV Hamburg	38:39 ✺
EHF Champions League
23.10.25	Veszprém - Füchse Berlin	31:32 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
19.10.25	Stuttgart - Füchse Berlin	30:36 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

EHF Champions League
05.12.24	Füchse Berlin - Sporting Lisbon	33:32
17.10.24	Sporting Lisbon - Füchse Berlin	35:33
EHF European League
27.02.24	Sporting Lisbon - Füchse Berlin	32:28
20.02.24	Füchse Berlin - Sporting Lisbon	31:32
02.03.21	Füchse Berlin - Sporting Lisbon	29:19

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