Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPEAN LEAGUE - ROUND 10

Date: 28 February 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay


	Sporting Lisbon		Nexe

	1	X	2
	1.42	8.5	3.4	Watch
	1.45	11.5	3.25
	1.38	9.5	3.95
	1.35	10	3.8
	1.36	9.6	4.2	Watch
	1.37	9.8	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.54)	9.82 ↑ (9.09)	3.74 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 60.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon
66.1%

Draw
9.4%

Nexe
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

10.1%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

10%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting Lisbon's performance.

Nexe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nexe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting Lisbon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nexe than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nexe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	7.1%	7.1%

Sporting Lisbon - Nexe Predictions

Users Predictions: Sporting Lisbon will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:29

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Preview

Sporting is Qualified for European League (Play Offs 1/16~finals)

Nexe is Qualified for European League (Play Offs 1/16~finals)

Sporting in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Nexe is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Sporting is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Sporting to win the game is with odds 1.45.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sporting won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 31-32.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon Handball
Portuguese Andebol 1
25.02.23	Sporting Lisbon - Águas Santas	34:29 ✺
EHF European League
21.02.23	Balatonfüredi KSE - Sporting Lisbon	25:31 ✺
Portuguese Andebol 1
18.02.23	Madeira - Sporting Lisbon	26:30 ✺
EHF European League
14.02.23	Sporting Lisbon - BM Granollers	38:31 ✺
Portuguese Andebol 1
10.02.23	Sporting Lisbon - Vitoria Setúbal	38:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWWW
- RK Nexe
Croatian Premijer Liga Handball
25.02.23	Gorica - Nexe	27:36 ✺
EHF European League
21.02.23	Nexe - Alpla Hard	22:29 ✺
Croatian Premijer Liga Handball
18.02.23	Nexe - Dubrava	35:17 ✺
EHF European League
14.02.23	Balatonfüredi KSE - Nexe	28:31 ✺
Croatian Premijer Liga Handball
11.02.23	Nexe - Porec	26:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

EHF European League
22.11.22	Nexe - Sporting Lisbon	32:31

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