Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - Round 8

Date: 20 November 2024, Wednesday

Location: Pavilhão João Rocha (Lisbon)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Eurosport 2
Hungary	Sport 1
Romania	Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport 2


	Sporting Lisbon		Paris Saint-Germain

	1	X	2
	1.55	9	3.3
	1.65	9	2.8
	1.53	8.4	3.05	Watch
	1.6	8.49	3.06
	1.5	8.5	3.1
	1.61	8.4	3.02	Watch
	1.53	8.4	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (2.01)	8.6 ↑ (8.18)	3.05 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 64.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon
59%

Draw
10.8%

Paris Saint-Germain
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

11.3%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

11.1%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting Lisbon's performance.

Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paris Saint-Germain might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting Lisbon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paris Saint-Germain could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Sporting Lisbon - Paris Saint Germain Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 2 - 50%). PSG will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:31

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Lineups


92. Aly M.	77. Baijens D.
22. Branquinho D.	19. Balaguer D.
6. Costa F.	20. Grebille M.
79. Costa M.	16. Green J.
19. Gassama M.	32. Holm J.
8. Gurri J.	97. Loredon G.
10. Hoghielm W.	2. Marchan R.
20. Kristensen A.	8. Narcisse N.
9. Martinez P.	5. Omar Y.
44. Moga C.	47. Peleka W.
2. Oliviera E.	90. Plantin L.
4. Portela P.	14. Sole F.
13. Salvador S.	1. Soullier S.
7. Suarez N.	21. Syprzak K.
17. Thorkelsson O.	15. Tonnesen K.
41. Vazquez M.

Preview

Recent matches Sporting is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Paris is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Paris could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sporting will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sporting won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 28:30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon Handball
Portuguese Andebol 1
16.11.24	Sporting Lisbon - Águas Santas	36:28 ✺
02.11.24	Porto - Sporting Lisbon	30:31 ✺
EHF Champions League
30.10.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Sporting Lisbon	30:28 ✺
Portuguese Andebol 1
25.10.24	Sporting Lisbon - Nazaré	42:23 ✺
EHF Champions League
23.10.24	Dinamo Bucureşti - Sporting Lisbon	33:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWLWL
- Paris Saint-Germain Handball
French Starligue Handball
17.11.24	Pays dAix - Paris Saint-Germain	26:28 ✺
03.11.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Montpellier HB	29:23 ✺
EHF Champions League
30.10.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Sporting Lisbon	30:28 ✺
French Starligue Handball
27.10.24	Istres OPH - Paris Saint-Germain	30:34 ✺
EHF Champions League
24.10.24	Füchse Berlin - Paris Saint-Germain	38:40 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

EHF Champions League
30.10.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Sporting Lisbon	30:28

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