Match Info

EUROPE: European League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 April 2024, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Sporting Lisbon		Rhein-Neckar Löwen

	1	X	2
	1.27	9.5	4.5	Watch
	1.3	12.5	4.4
	1.26	13.44	4.51	Watch
	1.22	11	4.6
	1.34	10.2	4.34
	1.29	11	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.5)	11.27 ↑ (9)	4.51 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 62.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon
71.6%

Draw
8.1%

Rhein-Neckar Löwen
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

10.4%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

11%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting Lisbon's performance.

Rhein-Neckar Löwen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rhein-Neckar Löwen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting Lisbon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rhein-Neckar Löwen than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rhein-Neckar Löwen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Sporting Lisbon - Rhein Neckar Löwen Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Rhein-Neckar Löwen will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:29

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Lineups


5. Araujo E.	19. Ahouansou P.
6. Costa F.	1. Appelgren M.
79. Costa M.	35. Birlehm J.
19. Gassama M.	22. Davidsson G.
23. Gomes J.	25. Forsell-Schefvert O.
8. Gurri J.	33. Gislason Y.
20. Kristensen A.	24. Groetzki P.
40. Maciel L.	9. Jacobsen S.
34. Mocquais E.	6. Kirkelokke N.
44. Moga C.	10. Knorr J.
2. Oliviera E.	80. Kohlbacher J.
4. Portela P.	42. Lindenchrone J.
13. Salvador S.	15. More D.
7. Suarez N.	27. Reichmann T.
17. Thorkelsson O.	29. Spath D.
14. Vaag G.	50. Zacharias L.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 29-32.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Sporting could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Sporting have a series of guest games.

Recently Rhein-Neckar Löwen have a series of home games.

In this match Sporting is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sporting won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 29-32.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon Handball
Portuguese Andebol 1
27.04.24	Porto - Sporting Lisbon	37:35 ✺
EHF European League
23.04.24	Rhein-Neckar Löwen - Sporting Lisbon	32:29 ✺
Portuguese Andebol 1
20.04.24	Sporting Lisbon - Benfica	37:28 ✺
14.04.24	ABC Braga - Sporting Lisbon	23:33 ✺
Taca de Portugal Handball
10.04.24	Madeira - Sporting Lisbon	31:36 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWWW
- Rhein-Neckar Löwen
EHF European League
23.04.24	Rhein-Neckar Löwen - Sporting Lisbon	32:29 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
18.04.24	Rhein-Neckar Löwen - MT Melsungen	23:28 ✺
12.04.24	Rhein-Neckar Löwen - Bergischer	35:29 ✺
07.04.24	HSG Wetzlar - Rhein-Neckar Löwen	30:27 ✺
EHF European League
02.04.24	Rhein-Neckar Löwen - Nexe	31:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

EHF European League
23.04.24	Rhein-Neckar Löwen - Sporting Lisbon	32:29

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