Match Info

Champions League

Date: 18 September 2025, Thursday

Location: Pavilhão João Rocha (Lisbon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Eurosport 1


	Sporting Lisbon		Vive Kielce

	1	X	2
	1.55	9	3.3	Watch
	1.57	9.2	2.85
	1.68	10.5	2.83	Watch
	1.53	10	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.4)	9.68 ↑ (9.5)	3.03 ↓ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon
59.3%

Draw
9.7%

Vive Kielce
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.7%

10%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sporting Lisbon's form might have worsened.

Vive Kielce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vive Kielce's recent form is better than expected.

Sporting Lisbon - Vive Kielce Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 - Sporting (2.05) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sporting Lisbon will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Kielce (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:31

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Lineups


4. Alvarez C.	10. Dujshebaev A.
92. Aly M.	24. Dujshebaev D.
3. Berlin E.	22. Ferlin K.
22. Branquinho D.	4. Jedraszczyk P.
6. Costa F.	50. Karalek A.
19. Gassama M.	11. Kounkoud B.
26. Graca F.	44. Latosinski M.
8. Gurri J.	15. Maqueda J.
20. Kristensen A.	97. Monar T.
9. Martinez P.	1. Morawski A.
44. Moga C.	23. Moryto A.
2. Oliviera E.	5. Olejniczak M.
13. Rocha S.	93. Rogulski L.
93. Romero V.	9. Sicko S.
7. Suarez N.
17. Thorkelsson O.

Preview

Sporting is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kielce is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Sporting may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sporting might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Sporting will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon Handball
Portuguese Andebol 1
13.09.25	Sporting Lisbon - Benfica	42:32 ✺
EHF Champions League
10.09.25	Dinamo Bucureşti - Sporting Lisbon	30:33 ✺
Portuguese Andebol 1
03.09.25	Marítimo - Sporting Lisbon	29:36 ✺
Supercopa Iberica Handball
31.08.25	Barcelona - Sporting Lisbon	35:34 penalties ✺
30.08.25	Sporting Lisbon - Reale Ademar	42:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWLW
- KS Vive Kielce
Polish Superliga Handball
14.09.25	Gwardia Opole - Vive Kielce	19:33 ✺
EHF Champions League
11.09.25	Vive Kielce - Kolstad	38:27 ✺
Polish Superliga Handball
07.09.25	Vive Kielce - Wybrzeże Gdańsk	45:31 ✺
03.09.25	Kalisz - Vive Kielce	27:38 ✺
Polish Super Cup Handball
30.08.25	Wisła Płock - Vive Kielce	31:32 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWW

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