Match Info

Superliga - Round 4

Date: 28 September 2026, Monday


	Stal Mielec		Wisła Płock

	1	X	2
	56.00	56.00	1.00
	40.00	40.00	1.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	48 ↑ (14)	48 ↑ (28)	1 ↓ (1.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-13)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stal Mielec
2%

Draw
2%

Wisła Płock
96%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

6.5%

3.3%

90.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Wisła Płock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wisła Płock's recent form is better than expected.

Stal Mielec - Wisła Płock Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:36

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 0.

Wisła Płock shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Stal Mielec may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The betting markets point to Wisła Płock as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Stal Mielec has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 19 losses, with a goal aggregate of 441:711 (averaging 22.1:35.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Stal Mielec against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with 248:370 goals (averaging 22.5:33.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Wisla Plock	5	5	0	0	0	198:123	15
11	Stal Mielec	5	0	0	0	5	120:150	0

Last Results with these Odds

Wisła Płock - the odds 1.01 are the expected chance of winning is 90.24%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SPR Stal Mielec
Polish Superliga Handball
21.09.26	Gwardia Opole - Stal Mielec	28:27 ✺
14.09.26	Stal Mielec - Wybrzeże Gdańsk	24:28 ✺
05.09.26	Chrobry Głogów - Stal Mielec	31:25 ✺
09.05.26	MMTS Kwidzyn - Stal Mielec	30:26 ✺
02.05.26	Chrobry Głogów - Stal Mielec	28:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Wisła Płock Handball
Polish Superliga Handball
20.09.26	Wisła Płock - Legionowo	37:24 ✺
EHF Champions League
17.09.26	Wisła Płock - MT Melsungen	25:24 ✺
Polish Superliga Handball
12.09.26	Ostrovia Ostrów Wielkopolski - Wisła Płock	32:37 ✺
EHF Champions League
09.09.26	HBC Nantes - Wisła Płock	26:25 ✺
Polish Superliga Handball
04.09.26	MMTS Kwidzyn - Wisła Płock	19:46 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Superliga Handball
25.04.26	Wisła Płock - Stal Mielec	30:22
22.04.26	Stal Mielec - Wisła Płock	23:35
27.03.26	Stal Mielec - Wisła Płock	16:34
15.11.25	Wisła Płock - Stal Mielec	38:24
19.02.22	Stal Mielec - Wisła Płock	25:37
15.09.21	Wisła Płock - Stal Mielec	37:19
29.05.21	Wisła Płock - Stal Mielec	44:18

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