Match Info

Superliga - 5th-8th places - 7th place

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday


	MMTS Kwidzyn		Stal Mielec

	1	X	2
	1.5	9.4	3.05	Watch
	1.5	7.81	3.37	Watch
	1.44	8.5	3.2
	1.5	9.3	3.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.51)	8.75 ↑ (8.5)	3.21 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MMTS Kwidzyn
61.3%

Draw
10.4%

Stal Mielec
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

10.7%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

11.1%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MMTS Kwidzyn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MMTS Kwidzyn than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

MMTS Kwidzyn - Stal Mielec Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Kwidzyn will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:28

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kwidzyn won 4.

In recent matches, Kwidzyn has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Stal Mielec's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Kwidzyn is considered a favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Kwidzyn won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 491:455. (average 28.9:26.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Kwidzyn won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 238:205. (average 29.8:25.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
8	MMTS Kwidzyn	5	2	0	0	3	142:165	6
11	Stal Mielec	5	0	0	0	5	120:150	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MMTS Kwidzyn
Polish Superliga Handball
02.05.26	MMTS Kwidzyn - Kalisz	28:35 ✺
27.04.26	Ostrovia Ostrów Wielkopolski - MMTS Kwidzyn	27:33 ✺
23.04.26	MMTS Kwidzyn - Ostrovia Ostrów Wielkopolski	23:31 ✺
06.04.26	MMTS Kwidzyn - Gwardia Opole	22:29 ✺
29.03.26	Wybrzeże Gdańsk - MMTS Kwidzyn	28:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LWLLW
- SPR Stal Mielec
Polish Superliga Handball
02.05.26	Chrobry Głogów - Stal Mielec	28:22 ✺
25.04.26	Wisła Płock - Stal Mielec	30:22 ✺
22.04.26	Stal Mielec - Wisła Płock	23:35 ✺
12.04.26	Stal Mielec - Vive Kielce	27:41 ✺
04.04.26	Ostrovia Ostrów Wielkopolski - Stal Mielec	22:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Superliga Handball
09.03.26	Stal Mielec - MMTS Kwidzyn	27:30
26.10.25	MMTS Kwidzyn - Stal Mielec	29:30
23.04.22	MMTS Kwidzyn - Stal Mielec	29:23
20.11.21	Stal Mielec - MMTS Kwidzyn	27:29
07.03.21	Stal Mielec - MMTS Kwidzyn	25:26
19.09.20	MMTS Kwidzyn - Stal Mielec	30:23
29.01.20	Stal Mielec - MMTS Kwidzyn	28:27

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