Match Info

Champions League - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Pick Aréna (Szeged)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Hungary	Sport 1
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Eurosport 1
Romania	Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium


	Szeged		Vive Kielce

	1	X	2
	1.9	8.5	2.35	Watch
	1.74	8	2.49	Watch
	1.81	8.05	2.57	Watch
	1.8	7.5	2.38
	1.91	9.2	2.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.7)	8.25 ↓ (9.61)	2.45 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 62.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Szeged
50.7%

Draw
11.3%

Vive Kielce
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

9.8%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

10.3%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Szeged has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Vive Kielce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Szeged than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Szeged, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vive Kielce than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Szeged - Vive Kielce Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:32

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Lineups


27. Banhidi B.	24. Dujshebaev D.
9. Bodo R.	22. Ferlin K.
13. Fazekas M.	98. Jarosiewicz P.
41. Garciandia I.	4. Jedraszczyk P.
18. Jelinic M.	50. Karalek A.
30. Kalarash G.	11. Kounkoud B.
34. Kukic L.	44. Latosinski M.
51. Mackovsek B.	15. Maqueda J.
16. Mikler R.	97. Monar T.
33. Nikolic J.	1. Morawski A.
77. Rod M.	23. Moryto A.
3. Smarason J.	99. Nahi D.
24. Sostaric M.	5. Olejniczak M.
93. Szilagyi B.	93. Rogulski L.
12. Thulin T.	9. Sicko S.
31. Toto J.	88. Vlah A.

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Szeged won 3.

Szeged has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kielce is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Kielce may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Szeged could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Szeged won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 468:497. (average 27.5:29.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Szeged won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 218:224. (average 27.3:28).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Szeged
Hungarian Division 1 Handball
28.03.26	Szeged - Balatonfüredi KSE	39:23 ✺
EHF Champions League
11.03.26	Wisła Płock - Szeged	30:30 ✺
05.03.26	Szeged - GOG	34:37 ✺
Hungarian Division 1 Handball
01.03.26	Szeged - Tatabanya	41:32 ✺
EHF Champions League
26.02.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Szeged	29:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTLWL
- KS Vive Kielce
Polish Superliga Handball
15.03.26	Vive Kielce - Chrobry Głogów	37:25 ✺
EHF Champions League
12.03.26	Kolstad - Vive Kielce	26:27 ✺
Polish Superliga Handball
08.03.26	Vive Kielce - Ostrovia Ostrów Wielkopolski	37:30 ✺
EHF Champions League
04.03.26	Vive Kielce - Sporting Lisbon	39:33 ✺
Polish Superliga Handball
01.03.26	Wisła Płock - Vive Kielce	32:31 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

EHF Champions League
21.11.24	Vive Kielce - Szeged	31:35
30.10.24	Szeged - Vive Kielce	28:27
06.12.23	Szeged - Vive Kielce	26:25
19.10.23	Vive Kielce - Szeged	27:27
07.12.22	Szeged - Vive Kielce	28:31
03.11.22	Vive Kielce - Szeged	37:30
25.02.21	Szeged - Vive Kielce	26:30

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