Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPEAN LEAGUE WOMEN - PRELIMINARY - FINAL

Date: 4 December 2022, Sunday


	Sävehof		Thüringer

	1	X	2
	2.45	9.25	1.7
	2.7	8	1.7
	2.47	8.4	1.68
	2.5	8.5	1.7
	2.53	8.8	1.71	Watch
	2.6	9	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.93)	8.66 ↓ (9)	1.7 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sävehof
35.9%

Draw
10.5%

Thüringer
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

10.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

10.7%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sävehof has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Thüringer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Thüringer might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sävehof than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sävehof that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thüringer than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Thüringer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

Sävehof - Thüringer Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Sävehof will win (votes: 8 - 80%). Thüringer will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sävehof: 55.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:29

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Preview

1st leg.

Sävehof in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Thüringer is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sävehof could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Thüringer will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sävehof won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 51-62.

Including matches at home between the teams Sävehof won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 26-32.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IK Sävehof Women
Swedish Elitserien Handball Women
30.11.22	Sävehof - Skövde	27:24 ✺
Swedish Cup Handball Women
27.11.22	Sävehof - Aranäs	32:22
Swedish Elitserien Handball Women
24.11.22	H 65 Höör - Sävehof	26:31 ✺
19.10.22	Sävehof - Hallby	42:26 ✺
11.10.22	Kristianstad - Sävehof	21:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWWW
- Thüringer HC
German DHB Pokal Women
30.11.22	Metzingen - Thüringer	34:32 ✺
German 1 Bundesliga Handball Women
27.11.22	Thüringer - Bietigheim	29:31 ✺
22.10.22	Waiblingen - Thüringer	22:30 ✺
German DHB Pokal Women
19.10.22	Aldekerk - Thüringer	22:50 ✺
EHF European League Women
16.10.22	Thüringer - Chambray Touraine	27:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

EHF Champions League Women
02.03.14	Sävehof - Thüringer	26:32
15.02.14	Thüringer - Sävehof	30:25

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