What is the expert prediction for THW Kiel vs Barcelona?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for THW Kiel vs Barcelona. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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THW Kiel vs Barcelona Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, November 24, 2022)

Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - ROUND 7

Date: 24 November 2022, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


	THW Kiel		Barcelona

	1	X	2
	3.6	9.5	1.47	Watch
	3.6	11	1.42
	3.95	9.5	1.4
	3.65	10	1.4
	3.75	11	1.4
	3.62	10.5	1.42	Watch
	3.95	9.2	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↑ (3.17)	10.1 ↑ (8.6)	1.42 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 65.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

THW Kiel
25%

Draw
9.2%

Barcelona
65.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

10.8%

59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

10.7%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

THW Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Barcelona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barcelona's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for THW Kiel than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barcelona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: Barcelona will win (31 of 31 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:35

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kiel won 1.

Kiel is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Barcelona is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Barcelona is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Barcelona to win the game is with odds 1.48.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Kiel won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 303-316.

Including matches at home between the teams Kiel won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 205-205.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- THW Kiel
German Bundesliga Handball
19.11.22	Magdeburg - THW Kiel	33:34 ✺
16.11.22	Erlangen - THW Kiel	27:34 ✺
13.11.22	THW Kiel - Frisch Auf Göppingen	30:26 ✺
08.11.22	Hamm-Westfalen - THW Kiel	24:37 ✺
05.11.22	THW Kiel - TBV Lemgo	32:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWWL
- Barcelona Handball
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
18.11.22	Barcelona - Anaitasuna	33:26 ✺
15.11.22	Naturhouse La Rioja - Barcelona	30:35 ✺
12.11.22	Barcelona - Quabit Guadalajara	38:26 ✺
06.11.22	Benidorm - Barcelona	24:35 ✺
EHF Champions League
03.11.22	Barcelona - HBC Nantes	34:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

EHF Champions League
18.06.22	THW Kiel - Barcelona	30:34
29.12.20	THW Kiel - Barcelona	33:28
26.11.20	Barcelona - THW Kiel	29:25
19.11.20	THW Kiel - Barcelona	26:32
Club World Championship Handball
31.08.19	THW Kiel - Barcelona	32:34
EHF Champions League
29.04.17	Barcelona - THW Kiel	23:18
23.04.17	THW Kiel - Barcelona	28:26

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