Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 21

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 Sport
Hungary	Sport 2
Slovakia	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
Ukraine	Sport 3


	THW Kiel		Magdeburg

	1	X	2
	3.2	8	1.6
	2.95	8.2	1.57
	2.96	7.92	1.59	Watch
	2.88	7.5	1.57
	2.87	9.1	1.6	Watch
	3.1	9	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.6)	8.29 ↓ (8.74)	1.57 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

THW Kiel
30.6%

Draw
11.1%

Magdeburg
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

10.4%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

10.1%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

THW Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Magdeburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for THW Kiel than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

THW Kiel - Magdeburg Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 28.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Magdeburg will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Magdeburg will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:30

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ European League and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kiel won 4.

Kiel has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Magdeburg is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Magdeburg has had a series of home games.

Magdeburg will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Magdeburg will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kiel won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 598:585. (average 29.9:29.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Kiel won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 258:257. (average 28.7:28.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	SC Magdeburg	8	7	0	1	272:238	14
3	Kiel	8	6	1	1	246:228	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- THW Kiel
German Bundesliga Handball
11.02.26	Rhein-Neckar Löwen - THW Kiel	27:28 ✺
26.12.25	THW Kiel - Erlangen	28:25 ✺
23.12.25	Magdeburg - THW Kiel	26:26 ✺
20.12.25	THW Kiel - Hannover-Burgdorf	29:29 ✺
German DHB Pokal
18.12.25	Füchse Berlin - THW Kiel	32:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWTTL
- SC Magdeburg
German Bundesliga Handball
11.02.26	Magdeburg - TBV Lemgo	36:32 ✺
27.12.25	Eisenach - Magdeburg	25:30 ✺
23.12.25	Magdeburg - THW Kiel	26:26 ✺
21.12.25	Magdeburg - SC DHfK Leipzig	29:28 ✺
German DHB Pokal
18.12.25	Magdeburg - Flensburg-Handewitt	35:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Handball
23.12.25	Magdeburg - THW Kiel	26:26
08.02.25	THW Kiel - Magdeburg	31:25
German DHB Pokal
13.11.24	THW Kiel - Magdeburg	29:28
German Bundesliga Handball
22.09.24	Magdeburg - THW Kiel	24:29
EHF Champions League
09.06.24	Magdeburg - THW Kiel	28:32
German Bundesliga Handball
07.02.24	THW Kiel - Magdeburg	26:33
30.09.23	Magdeburg - THW Kiel	34:31

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