Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 19

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Hungary	Sport 1
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Ukraine	Sport 1


	THW Kiel		Erlangen

	1	X	2
	1.1	15	12
	1.07	15	10
	1.11	13.13	8.91	Watch
	1.08	12	9
	1.1	15	8.8	Watch
	1.1	17	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.09 ↑ (1.03)	14.52 ↓ (19.67)	9.95 ↓ (18)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

THW Kiel
84.4%

Draw
6.4%

Erlangen
9.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

90.1%

4.7%

5.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

THW Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that THW Kiel's form might have worsened.

Erlangen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

THW Kiel - Erlangen Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Kiel will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kiel (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:26

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Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ European League and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kiel won 5.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Erlangen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kiel is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kiel won 20 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 634:485. (average 31.7:24.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Kiel won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 279:213. (average 31:23.7).

Last Results with these Odds

THW Kiel - the odds 1.03 are the expected chance of winning is 90.12%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- THW Kiel
German Bundesliga Handball
23.12.25	Magdeburg - THW Kiel	26:26 ✺
20.12.25	THW Kiel - Hannover-Burgdorf	29:29 ✺
German DHB Pokal
18.12.25	Füchse Berlin - THW Kiel	32:30 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
14.12.25	TBV Lemgo - THW Kiel	23:23 ✺
10.12.25	THW Kiel - Stuttgart	33:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTLTW
- HC Erlangen
German Bundesliga Handball
20.12.25	Erlangen - MT Melsungen	26:26 ✺
13.12.25	Erlangen - SC DHfK Leipzig	30:26 ✺
10.12.25	GWD Minden - Erlangen	30:29 ✺
06.12.25	Rhein-Neckar Löwen - Erlangen	35:27 ✺
28.11.25	Erlangen - Stuttgart	24:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Handball
28.08.25	Erlangen - THW Kiel	29:31
20.02.25	THW Kiel - Erlangen	28:24
25.10.24	Erlangen - THW Kiel	28:37
06.04.24	THW Kiel - Erlangen	31:27
09.12.23	Erlangen - THW Kiel	27:31
21.05.23	THW Kiel - Erlangen	35:26
16.11.22	Erlangen - THW Kiel	27:34

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