Match Info

European League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 May 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 2
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch
Hungary	Sport 1
Norway	Viaplay


	THW Kiel		Nexe

	1	X	2
	1.14	12	6.5	Watch
	1.09	14	8.6
	1.13	11.98	7.49	Watch
	1.11	13	7
	1.14	13.5	7.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.12 (1.12)	12.9 ↑ (12)	7.4 ↓ (7.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 60.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

THW Kiel
80.7%

Draw
7%

Nexe
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

80.5%

7.5%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

THW Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Nexe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

THW Kiel - Nexe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:27

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Lineups


48. Abdelhak M.	4. Bakic A.
22. Ankermann R.	21. Barbic I.
23. Dahmke R.	11. Barisic P.
4. Duvnjak D.	33. Cenic A.
91. Imre B.	34. Cenic O.
21. Johansson E.	8. Haseljic I.
7. Landin M.	75. Jastrzebski M.
20. Laube L.	44. Kozina K.
93. Nacinovic V.	24. Kuze T.
11. Overby P.	41. Lucin T.
61. Pekeler H.	20. Manci B.
1. Perez de Vargas G.	27. Moslavac L.
6. Reinkind H.	17. Moslavac M.
29. Rohwer J.	16. Radovanovic M.
33. Wolff A.	26. Strlek M.
24. Zerbe L.	39. Vucko L.

Preview

First leg result: 30-33. Second leg.

Recent performances by Kiel have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Nexe is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Kiel is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kiel won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 96:87. (average 32:29).

Including home match between the teams, Kiel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 31:28.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- THW Kiel
German Bundesliga Handball
02.05.26	HSG Wetzlar - THW Kiel	33:25 ✺
EHF European League
28.04.26	Nexe - THW Kiel	33:30 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
25.04.26	THW Kiel - SC DHfK Leipzig	28:28 ✺
12.04.26	HSV Hamburg - THW Kiel	27:34 ✺
04.04.26	THW Kiel - Eisenach	30:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTWT
- RK Nexe
Croatian Premijer Liga Handball
02.05.26	PPD Zagreb - Nexe	34:26 ✺
EHF European League
28.04.26	Nexe - THW Kiel	33:30 ✺
Croatian Premijer Liga Handball
25.04.26	Nexe - Dugo Selo	27:26 ✺
18.04.26	Nexe - Sesvete	42:30 ✺
11.04.26	Trogir - Nexe	28:39 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

EHF European League
28.04.26	Nexe - THW Kiel	33:30
29.10.24	THW Kiel - Nexe	31:28
22.10.24	Nexe - THW Kiel	26:35

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