Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 9

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen		Elbflorenz

	1	X	2
	2.95	8.4	1.55
	3.28	9.7	1.45
	2.45	8.5	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.4)	8.87 ↑ (7.85)	1.57 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen
31.6%

Draw
10.3%

Elbflorenz
58.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

11.7%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

12.1%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen's form might have worsened.

Elbflorenz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elbflorenz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elbflorenz than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elbflorenz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen - Elbflorenz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:32

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Friesenheim won 3.

Friesenheim has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Elbflorenz is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Recently, Elbflorenz has had a series of home games.

Elbflorenz might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Elbflorenz will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Friesenheim won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 224:225. (average 28:28.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Friesenheim won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 121:115. (average 30.3:28.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
20.10.25	Eintracht Hagen - TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen	39:29 ✺
16.10.25	TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen - HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	21:31 ✺
05.10.25	Bietigheim - TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen	29:24 ✺
20.09.25	Bayer Dormagen - TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen	24:26 ✺
17.09.25	TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen - Dessau-Roßlauer	26:36 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLWL
- HC Elbflorenz
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
18.10.25	Elbflorenz - Nordhorn-Lingen	34:22 ✺
12.10.25	HSC 2000 Coburg - Elbflorenz	30:35 ✺
04.10.25	Elbflorenz - Nettelstedt-Lübbecke	35:30 ✺
German DHB Pokal
01.10.25	Elbflorenz - HSV Hamburg	47:46 OT ✺
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
26.09.25	Elbflorenz - Lübeck-Schwartau	36:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga Handball
26.03.25	Elbflorenz - TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen	32:25
11.09.24	TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen - Elbflorenz	24:23
05.05.24	Elbflorenz - TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen	30:25
29.11.23	TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen - Elbflorenz	31:29
02.04.23	TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen - Elbflorenz	34:31
02.11.22	Elbflorenz - TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen	23:29
10.04.22	Elbflorenz - TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen	25:24

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