Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 13

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday


	TUSEM Essen		Lübeck-Schwartau

	1	X	2
	2.24	7.8	1.91
	2.44	6.76	1.79	Watch
	2.28	9.4	1.85
	2.05	9	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.44)	8.24 ↑ (6.76)	1.88 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TUSEM Essen
40.4%

Draw
11.1%

Lübeck-Schwartau
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

13.3%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

13.7%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TUSEM Essen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Lübeck-Schwartau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TUSEM Essen than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lübeck-Schwartau than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

TUSEM Essen - Lübeck Schwartau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:29

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TUSEM Essen won 2.

TUSEM Essen is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lübeck-Schwartau is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, TUSEM Essen won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 451:452. (average 26.5:26.6).

Including home matches between the teams, TUSEM Essen won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 219:210. (average 27.4:26.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TUSEM Essen
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
22.11.25	Elbflorenz - TUSEM Essen	41:24 ✺
15.11.25	TUSEM Essen - Potsdam	28:35 ✺
09.11.25	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten - TUSEM Essen	43:26 ✺
24.10.25	TUSEM Essen - Dessau-Roßlauer	29:26 ✺
18.10.25	Bietigheim - TUSEM Essen	36:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLWL
- VfL Lübeck-Schwartau
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
22.11.25	Lübeck-Schwartau - Krefeld	38:31 ✺
14.11.25	Ferndorf - Lübeck-Schwartau	27:28 ✺
09.11.25	Lübeck-Schwartau - TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen	32:25 ✺
26.10.25	Nordhorn-Lingen - Lübeck-Schwartau	27:26 ✺
19.10.25	Lübeck-Schwartau - HSC 2000 Coburg	27:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga Handball
01.06.25	TUSEM Essen - Lübeck-Schwartau	25:25
22.12.24	Lübeck-Schwartau - TUSEM Essen	31:22
01.06.24	Lübeck-Schwartau - TUSEM Essen	25:29
17.12.23	TUSEM Essen - Lübeck-Schwartau	31:19
07.06.23	Lübeck-Schwartau - TUSEM Essen	29:28
03.02.23	TUSEM Essen - Lübeck-Schwartau	23:22
29.04.22	Lübeck-Schwartau - TUSEM Essen	24:28

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