Match Info

Date: 20 May 2021, Thursday


	TUSEM Essen		TBV Lemgo

	1	X	2
	4.5	9	1.37
	3.25	9.75	1.55
	3.05	9	1.57
	3.35	9.4	1.48
	3.25	9	1.5
	3.56	9.7	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↑ (3)	9.31 ↑ (8)	1.49 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TUSEM Essen
26.9%

Draw
10.1%

TBV Lemgo
63%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

11.8%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

11.3%

59.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TUSEM Essen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

TBV Lemgo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting TBV Lemgo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TUSEM Essen than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TBV Lemgo than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	7.7%	84.6%

TUSEM Essen - TBV Lemgo Predictions

Users Predictions: TBV Lemgo will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:29

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 9).

TUSEM Essen has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Lemgo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lemgo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Lemgo have a series of home games.

In this match Lemgo is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches TUSEM Essen won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 67-85.

Including matches at home between the teams TUSEM Essen won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 21-30.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TUSEM Essen
German Bundesliga Handball
13.05.21	Frisch Auf Göppingen - TUSEM Essen	35:27 ✺
08.05.21	TUSEM Essen - SC DHfK Leipzig	24:26 ✺
05.05.21	TUSEM Essen - Bergischer	22:32 ✺
25.04.21	TUSEM Essen - THW Kiel	27:31 ✺
22.04.21	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten - TUSEM Essen	31:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- TBV Lemgo
German Bundesliga Handball
18.05.21	TBV Lemgo - Frisch Auf Göppingen	26:26 ✺
13.05.21	TBV Lemgo - Stuttgart	35:29 ✺
09.05.21	TBV Lemgo - Hannover-Burgdorf	24:26 ✺
05.05.21	HSG Wetzlar - TBV Lemgo	21:27 ✺
24.04.21	TBV Lemgo - Rhein-Neckar Löwen	28:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Handball
22.10.20	TBV Lemgo - TUSEM Essen	31:23
08.06.13	TBV Lemgo - TUSEM Essen	24:23
19.12.12	TUSEM Essen - TBV Lemgo	21:30

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