Match Info

Liga ASOBAL - Round 29

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Pabellon Vicente Trueba (Torrelavega)


	Torrelavega		Anaitasuna

	1	X	2
	1.32	10	4.75
	1.3	12.5	4.25
	1.3	11	4.2
	1.32	9.92	4.72	Watch
	1.3	11	4.2
	1.32	11.7	4.31	Watch
	1.3	11	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.38)	11.02 ↑ (9.09)	4.38 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torrelavega
70.5%

Draw
8.4%

Anaitasuna
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

10.2%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

10.6%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torrelavega has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Anaitasuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torrelavega than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Torrelavega that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anaitasuna than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Torrelavega - Anaitasuna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:27

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Lineups


25. Cangiani F.	30. Albizu A.
77. Colunga N.	35. Castro P.
28. Dos Santos O.	13. Duo A.
55. Espinal A.	23. Echavarri A. O.
32. Fernandez A.	7. Ganuza M.
15. Fernandez J.	15. Goni E.
24. Garate J.	24. Itoiz P.
7. Linhares de Souza G.	33. Kisselev O.
19. Lombilla B.	8. Moreno A.
21. Martinez I.	61. Moreno M.
14. Munoz J.	11. Pereiro S.
18. Prokop J.	19. Redondo Vera M.
10. Rubino A.	18. Unciti X.
4. Silva M.	91. Zungri N.

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ European League and 14 in the zone Liga ASOBAL (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torrelavega won 2.

In recent matches, Torrelavega has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Anaitasuna has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Torrelavega may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Torrelavega is seen as the favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Torrelavega won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 240:268. (average 30:33.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Torrelavega won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 118:136. (average 29.5:34).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BM Torrelavega
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
18.05.25	Benidorm - Torrelavega	27:33 ✺
04.05.25	Torrelavega - BM Granollers	35:34 ✺
26.04.25	Quabit Guadalajara - Torrelavega	28:25 ✺
18.04.25	Torrelavega - Nava	28:24 ✺
12.04.25	Morrazo Cangas - Torrelavega	29:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLWL
- Helvetia Anaitasuna
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
16.05.25	Anaitasuna - Reale Ademar	24:24 ✺
03.05.25	Bidasoa Irun - Anaitasuna	30:29 ✺
27.04.25	Anaitasuna - BM Huesca	26:24 ✺
18.04.25	Barcelona - Anaitasuna	39:25 ✺
11.04.25	Anaitasuna - Villa de Aranda	22:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga ASOBAL
18.12.24	Anaitasuna - Torrelavega	29:33
14.04.24	Torrelavega - Anaitasuna	26:37
11.11.23	Anaitasuna - Torrelavega	32:29
14.04.23	Anaitasuna - Torrelavega	34:26
12.11.22	Torrelavega - Anaitasuna	36:31
26.02.22	Torrelavega - Anaitasuna	32:36
Spanish Copa del Rey Handball
15.12.21	Torrelavega - Anaitasuna	24:32

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