Match Info

Division 1 Women - Round 4

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday


	Toulon		Metz

	1	X	2
	51.00	51.00	1.00
				Watch
	65	50	1
Avarage Now (Initially)	58 ↑ (17)	50.5 ↑ (20)	1 ↓ (1.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-13)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toulon
1.7%

Draw
1.9%

Metz
96.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

5.4%

4.5%

90.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toulon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Metz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Metz's recent form is better than expected.

Toulon - Metz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:38

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulon won 0.

Metz is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Metz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Metz is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toulon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 20 matches, and goals 438:629. (average 21.9:31.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Toulon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 252:342. (average 22.9:31.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	Metz W	5	5	0	0	194:121	15
11	Toulon W	5	0	1	4	133:161	6

Last Results with these Odds

Metz - the odds 1.01 are the expected chance of winning is 90.1%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toulon Saint-Cyr
French Division 1 Handball Women
11.09.26	Paris 92 - Toulon	32:32 ✺
04.09.26	Toulon - Stella St-Maur	27:29 ✺
29.08.26	Chambray Touraine - Toulon	26:22 ✺
31.05.26	Toulon - HAC Handball	35:33 ✺
27.05.26	Achenheim Truchtersheim - Toulon	25:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLLWL
- Metz Handball
EHF Champions League Women
13.09.26	Metz - Gloria Bistrița	40:26 ✺
French Division 1 Handball Women
09.09.26	Metz - Nice	41:19 ✺
EHF Champions League Women
05.09.26	Storhamar - Metz	23:32 ✺
French Division 1 Handball Women
02.09.26	Metz - Plan de Cuques	31:22 ✺
29.08.26	Paris 92 - Metz	21:46 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Division 1 Handball Women
11.02.26	Metz - Toulon	34:26
05.11.25	Toulon - Metz	24:36
14.03.25	Toulon - Metz	16:33
11.09.24	Metz - Toulon	33:22
09.03.24	Metz - Toulon	43:20
01.11.23	Toulon - Metz	19:26
10.03.23	Toulon - Metz	32:33

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