Match Info

1. Division - Round 17

Date: 25 November 2025, Tuesday


	Tønder		Sydhavsøerne

	1	X	2
	1.55	7.8	3.05
	1.62	7.38	2.72	Watch
	1.57	9.1	2.96
	1.6	8.5	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.48)	8.2 ↑ (7.9)	2.86 ↓ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tønder
57.2%

Draw
11.1%

Sydhavsøerne
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

11.7%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

11.7%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tønder has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tønder's form might have worsened.

Sydhavsøerne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sydhavsøerne's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tønder than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydhavsøerne than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sydhavsøerne, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tønder - Sydhavsøerne Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Tønder (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tønder (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:28

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tønder won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Tønder could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Tønder won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 429:480. (average 25.2:28.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Tønder won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 214:216. (average 26.8:27).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TM Tønder Håndbold
Danish 1 Division Handball
21.11.25	Norddjurs - Tønder	29:34 ✺
16.11.25	Tønder - Aarhus	27:26 ✺
07.11.25	Skive FH - Tønder	30:28 ✺
26.10.25	Tønder - Give	35:28 ✺
18.10.25	KIF Kolding - Tønder	34:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLWL
- Team Sydhavsøerne
Danish 1 Division Handball
21.11.25	Aarhus - Sydhavsøerne	27:32 ✺
15.11.25	Sydhavsøerne - Skive FH	28:32 ✺
08.11.25	Give - Sydhavsøerne	30:34 ✺
22.10.25	Sydhavsøerne - KIF Kolding	36:33 ✺
19.10.25	Odder HB - Sydhavsøerne	34:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division Handball
20.09.25	Sydhavsøerne - Tønder	26:24
15.12.24	Tønder - Sydhavsøerne	31:23
07.09.24	Sydhavsøerne - Tønder	27:24
03.03.24	Tønder - Sydhavsøerne	24:27
12.11.23	Sydhavsøerne - Tønder	24:26
10.12.22	Sydhavsøerne - Tønder	32:19
04.09.22	Tønder - Sydhavsøerne	24:29

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