Match Info

European League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 May 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium


	Vardar		Montpellier HB

	1	X	2
	1.9	8	2.2	Watch
	2.05	8	2.06
	2.12	6.64	2.1	Watch
	2.1	7.5	2
	2.09	8.7	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (3.8)	7.77 ↓ (9)	2.07 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vardar
44.4%

Draw
11.7%

Montpellier HB
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

10.1%

66.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vardar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vardar's performance.

Montpellier HB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Montpellier HB might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Vardar - Montpellier HB Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Vardar will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:33

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Lineups


27. Anastasovski K.	12. Bolzinger C.
4. Bono N.	27. Caille M.
9. Georgievski G.	18. Casado A.
99. Gogov V.	92. Desbonnet R.
24. Horiha D.	19. Lenne A.
78. Jankowski W.	26. Monte B.
10. Keita M.	13. Moraes R.
18. Lazarevski M.	90. Plantin L.
66. Malus J.	28. Porte V.
21. Marciniak M.	93. Prat K.
23. Matiaba-Tuzolana M.	22. Richert B.
13. Mitrovic U.	4. Simonet D.
34. Silva J.	52. Soutoul J.
2. Stojanovski M.	11. Srna Z.
3. Vorkapic V.	5. Villeminot K.
25. Walach M.

Preview

First leg result: 23-33. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vardar won 2.

Montpellier's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Vardar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Vardar won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 351:341. (average 29.3:28.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Vardar won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 176:169. (average 29.3:28.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Vardar Skopje
EHF European League
28.04.26	Montpellier HB - Vardar	33:23 ✺
North Macedonian Superleague Handball
15.03.26	Eurofarm Pelister - Vardar	22:27 ✺
EHF European League
10.03.26	MT Melsungen - Vardar	25:34 ✺
03.03.26	Vardar - Benfica	33:27 ✺
24.02.26	Vardar - MT Melsungen	37:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.3 LWWWW
- Montpellier HB
French Starligue Handball
01.05.26	Dijon - Montpellier HB	28:38 ✺
EHF European League
28.04.26	Montpellier HB - Vardar	33:23 ✺
French Starligue Handball
24.04.26	Montpellier HB - Pays dAix	29:33 ✺
19.04.26	HBC Nantes - Montpellier HB	35:32 ✺
Coupe de France Handball
15.04.26	Montpellier HB - Paris Saint-Germain	39:35 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

EHF European League
28.04.26	Montpellier HB - Vardar	33:23
EHF Champions League
16.02.22	Montpellier HB - Vardar	25:28
13.10.21	Vardar - Montpellier HB	25:31
29.02.20	Vardar - Montpellier HB	27:31
14.09.19	Montpellier HB - Vardar	31:33
02.03.19	Vardar - Montpellier HB	33:27
15.09.18	Montpellier HB - Vardar	24:27

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