Match Info

Lietuvos Lyga

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday


	Varsa Alytus		Klaipeda Dragunas

	1	X	2
	3.90	8.25	1.39	Watch
	6.9	13.2	1.15
	6.5	12	1.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.77 ↓ (6.5)	11.15 ↓ (12)	1.23 ↑ (1.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 60.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varsa Alytus
16.1%

Draw
8.4%

Klaipeda Dragunas
75.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14%

7.6%

78.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varsa Alytus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Klaipeda Dragunas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Varsa Alytus - Klaipeda Dragunas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:33

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alytus won 0.

Klaipeda Dragunas is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Alytus may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Klaipeda Dragunas has had a series of away games.

In this match, Klaipeda Dragunas is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alytus won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 492:553. (average 24.6:27.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Alytus won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 259:296. (average 23.5:26.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	Dragunas Klaipeda	5	5	0	0	197:143	10
5	Alytaus	4	1	0	3	115:135	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RK Varsa Alytus
Lietuvos Lyga Handball
11.02.26	Varsa Alytus - Šviesa	29:34 ✺
31.01.26	Granitas Kaunas - Varsa Alytus	28:38
24.01.26	Varsa Alytus - Vilnius	27:24 ✺
20.12.25	Varsa Alytus - Ūla Varėna	27:21 ✺
17.12.25	Šviesa - Varsa Alytus	27:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWWL
- Klaipeda Dragunas
Baltic League Handball
22.02.26	Klaipeda Dragunas - Mistra	34:26 ✺
28.01.26	ASK MSG - Klaipeda Dragunas	25:38
Lietuvos Lyga Handball
25.01.26	Pieno Zvaigzdes - Klaipeda Dragunas	37:35
24.01.26	Šviesa - Klaipeda Dragunas	26:27 ✺
17.01.26	Granitas Kaunas - Klaipeda Dragunas	32:37
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos Lyga Handball
01.10.25	Varsa Alytus - Klaipeda Dragunas	22:27
30.11.24	Varsa Alytus - Klaipeda Dragunas	31:35
06.03.24	Varsa Alytus - Klaipeda Dragunas	30:35
04.10.23	Varsa Alytus - Klaipeda Dragunas	24:36
28.01.23	Klaipeda Dragunas - Varsa Alytus	35:28
29.10.22	Varsa Alytus - Klaipeda Dragunas	28:28
25.05.22	Klaipeda Dragunas - Varsa Alytus	26:22

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