Match Info

Date: 12 December 2020, Saturday


	Villa de Aranda		BM Sinfín

	1	X	2
	1.72	8	2.8
	1.8	7.75	2.5
	1.8	8	2.5
	1.79	8.2	2.5
	1.73	7.5	2.5
	1.82	7.7	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.03)	7.86 ↑ (7.7)	2.57 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 51.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa de Aranda
52.1%

Draw
11.8%

BM Sinfín
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

12.1%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

11%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa de Aranda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villa de Aranda's performance.

BM Sinfín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and BM Sinfín might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa de Aranda than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villa de Aranda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BM Sinfín than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that BM Sinfín could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Villa de Aranda - BM Sinfín Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:27

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Villa de Aranda is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sinfín is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Villa de Aranda will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Villa de Aranda won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 162-165.

Including matches at home between the teams Villa de Aranda won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 80-85.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villa de Aranda
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
09.12.20	Nava - Villa de Aranda	21:30 ✺
05.12.20	Cisne - Villa de Aranda	31:30 ✺
02.12.20	BM Huesca - Villa de Aranda	26:19 ✺
28.11.20	Villa de Aranda - Benidorm	25:27 ✺
25.11.20	Villa de Aranda - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	26:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLLL
- BM Sinfín
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
09.12.20	Alser Puerto Sagunto - BM Sinfín	26:28 ✺
05.12.20	BM Sinfín - BM Huesca	25:29 ✺
02.12.20	Morrazo Cangas - BM Sinfín	23:26 ✺
28.11.20	BM Sinfín - Cisne	24:24 ✺
31.10.20	BM Sinfín - Bidasoa Irun	16:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
14.04.18	BM Sinfín - Villa de Aranda	26:24
25.11.17	Villa de Aranda - BM Sinfín	22:27
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
20.05.17	BM Sinfín - Villa de Aranda	27:30
07.12.16	Villa de Aranda - BM Sinfín	26:33
27.02.16	Villa de Aranda - BM Sinfín	32:25
26.09.15	BM Sinfín - Villa de Aranda	27:28

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