Match Info

Liga ASOBAL - Round 16

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	LaLiga+


	Nava		Villa de Aranda

	1	X	2
	1.5	9	3.6
	1.46	9.4	3.2
	1.47	8.02	3.46	Watch
	1.44	8.5	3.2
	1.47	9.6	3.35	Watch
	1.48	10	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 (1.47)	9.09 ↓ (9.82)	3.37 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nava
62.6%

Draw
10.1%

Villa de Aranda
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

9.3%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Villa de Aranda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Nava - Villa de Aranda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:28

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Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division de Honor Plata and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nava won 2.

In this match, Nava is the team to beat.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Nava won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 309:309. (average 28.1:28.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Nava won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 135:133. (average 27:26.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
14	Villa de Aranda	4	0	1	3	109:131	1
16	Nava	4	0	0	4	111:141	0

Last Results with these Odds

Villa de Aranda - the odds 3.18 are the expected chance of winning is 28.68%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BM Nava
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
20.12.25	Nava - Atlético Valladolid	29:30 ✺
17.12.25	EÓN Alicante - Nava	38:35 ✺
14.12.25	Nava - Naturhouse La Rioja	21:17 ✺
11.12.25	Reale Ademar - Nava	32:29 ✺
07.12.25	Torrelavega - Nava	28:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLWLL
- Villa de Aranda
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
20.12.25	Reale Ademar - Villa de Aranda	37:32 ✺
16.12.25	Villa de Aranda - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	26:24 ✺
13.12.25	Caserio Ciudad Real - Villa de Aranda	22:19 ✺
10.12.25	Villa de Aranda - Barcelona	28:34 ✺
06.12.25	Villa de Aranda - Bidasoa Irun	32:36 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga ASOBAL
14.09.25	Villa de Aranda - Nava	29:25
07.03.25	Nava - Villa de Aranda	27:28
13.10.24	Villa de Aranda - Nava	31:34
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
17.12.22	Nava - Villa de Aranda	32:27
01.10.22	Villa de Aranda - Nava	31:31
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
11.04.21	Villa de Aranda - Nava	26:29
09.12.20	Nava - Villa de Aranda	21:30

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