Match Info

Champions League

Date: 25 September 2025, Thursday

Location: Hala Legionów (Kielce)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Eurosport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2


	Vive Kielce		Füchse Berlin

	1	X	2
	2.8	8.5	1.7	Watch
	2.55	7.8	1.73	Watch
	20.00	15.75	1.03	Watch
	2.64	10	1.78	Watch
	2.6	8.6	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.12 ↑ (2.17)	10.13 ↑ (7.8)	1.6 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vive Kielce
18.4%

Draw
11.1%

Füchse Berlin
70.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

11.8%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

11.6%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vive Kielce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-24.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vive Kielce's form might have worsened.

Füchse Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Füchse Berlin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vive Kielce than the current prediction. (+25.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vive Kielce, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Füchse Berlin than the current prediction. (-25.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Füchse Berlin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Vive Kielce - Füchse Berlin Predictions

Users Predictions: Füchse Berlin will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Füchse Berlin will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:33

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Lineups


16. Cordalija B.	11. Andersson L.
10. Dujshebaev A.	14. Arino A.
24. Dujshebaev D.	5. Darj M.
22. Ferlin K.	20. Freihofer T.
98. Jarosiewicz P.	19. Gidsel M.
4. Jedraszczyk P.	15. Grondahl T.
42. Kaddah H.	35. Gunther M.
11. Kounkoud B.	25. Langhoff M.
44. Latosinski M.	1. Ludwig L.
15. Maqueda J.	93. Marsenic M.
97. Monar T.	96. Milosavljev D.
23. Moryto A.	34. Teigum H.
5. Olejniczak M.	3. Wiede F.
93. Rogulski L.
9. Sicko S.
88. Vlah A.

Preview

Kielce is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Füchse Berlin has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Füchse Berlin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Füchse Berlin could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kielce won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 91:91. (average 30.3:30.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Kielce won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 54:54. (average 27:27).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Vive Kielce
EHF Champions League
18.09.25	Sporting Lisbon - Vive Kielce	41:37 ✺
Polish Superliga Handball
14.09.25	Gwardia Opole - Vive Kielce	19:33 ✺
EHF Champions League
11.09.25	Vive Kielce - Kolstad	38:27 ✺
Polish Superliga Handball
07.09.25	Vive Kielce - Wybrzeże Gdańsk	45:31 ✺
03.09.25	Kalisz - Vive Kielce	27:38 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWWWW
- Füchse Berlin
German Bundesliga Handball
21.09.25	Füchse Berlin - MT Melsungen	30:24 ✺
EHF Champions League
18.09.25	Füchse Berlin - Aalborg	31:28 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
14.09.25	Gummersbach - Füchse Berlin	34:29 ✺
EHF Champions League
11.09.25	HBC Nantes - Füchse Berlin	34:40 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
06.09.25	Füchse Berlin - Magdeburg	32:39 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

EHF Champions League
02.04.25	Füchse Berlin - Vive Kielce	37:37
26.03.25	Vive Kielce - Füchse Berlin	27:33
Club Friendly Hanbdall
19.08.21	Vive Kielce - Füchse Berlin	27:21

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