Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - ROUND 3

Date: 27 September 2023, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Eurosport 2
Poland	Eurosport 1


	Vive Kielce		Paris Saint-Germain

	1	X	2
	1.8	8.5	2.6	Watch
	1.75	11	2.45
	1.72	8.18	2.65
	1.73	8	2.4
	1.72	8.4	2.66	Watch
	1.73	8.6	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.95)	8.78 ↑ (8.23)	2.57 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 65.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vive Kielce
53.3%

Draw
10.6%

Paris Saint-Germain
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

11.2%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

11.4%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vive Kielce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vive Kielce's performance.

Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paris Saint-Germain might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vive Kielce than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vive Kielce that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Vive Kielce - Paris Saint Germain Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Kielce will win (votes: 1 - 50%). PSG will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 34:34

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vive Kielce won 3.

Vive Kielce is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Paris is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Vive Kielce won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 381-406.

Including matches at home between the teams Vive Kielce won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 217-210.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Vive Kielce
Polish Superliga Handball
24.09.23	Piotrkowianin Piotrków - Vive Kielce	26:45 ✺
EHF Champions League
21.09.23	Kolstad - Vive Kielce	30:32 ✺
Polish Superliga Handball
16.09.23	Vive Kielce - Unia Tarnów	45:24 ✺
EHF Champions League
13.09.23	Vive Kielce - Aalborg	31:34 ✺
Polish Superliga Handball
10.09.23	Górnik Zabrze - Vive Kielce	32:36 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWLW
- Paris Saint-Germain Handball
French Starligue Handball
24.09.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Creteil	35:27 ✺
EHF Champions League
21.09.23	Paris Saint-Germain - PPD Zagreb	35:31 ✺
French Starligue Handball
17.09.23	Ivry - Paris Saint-Germain	34:38 ✺
EHF Champions League
14.09.23	Szeged - Paris Saint-Germain	29:31 ✺
French Starligue Handball
07.09.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Limoges	37:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

EHF Champions League
17.06.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Vive Kielce	24:25
02.12.21	Paris Saint-Germain - Vive Kielce	32:27
27.10.21	Vive Kielce - Paris Saint-Germain	38:33
23.02.21	Paris Saint-Germain - Vive Kielce	37:26
22.10.20	Vive Kielce - Paris Saint-Germain	35:33
05.05.19	Paris Saint-Germain - Vive Kielce	35:26
27.04.19	Vive Kielce - Paris Saint-Germain	34:24

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