Match Info

1. SRL Women - Losers stage - Round 10

Date: 16 April 2026, Thursday


	Vrhnika		Litija

	1	X	2
	3.17	8	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.36)	8 (8)	1.51 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 51.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 10.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vrhnika
28.6%

Draw
11.3%

Litija
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

11.5%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

12.4%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vrhnika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vrhnika's form might have worsened.

Litija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Litija's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vrhnika than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vrhnika, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Litija than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Litija, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Vrhnika - Litija Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:27

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Preview

Vrhnika has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Litija has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Litija may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Litija has had a series of home games.

In this match, Litija is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Vrhnika won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 41:54. (average 20.5:27).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
8	ZRD Litija W	3	1	0	2	64:103	2
12	Vrhnika W	3	0	0	3	52:133	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ŠDRŠ Vrhnika
Slovenian 1 SRL Women
09.04.26	Olimpija Ljubljana - Vrhnika	36:33 ✺
01.04.26	Vrhnika - Celje	38:27 ✺
20.03.26	Ptuj - Vrhnika	35:24 ✺
14.03.26	Vrhnika - Millennium	32:35 ✺
25.02.26	Litija - Vrhnika	27:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWLLL
- ZRD Litija
Slovenian 1 SRL Women
02.04.26	Litija - Olimpija Ljubljana	17:21 ✺
28.03.26	Litija - Celje	28:27 ✺
14.03.26	Litija - Ptuj	23:27 ✺
01.03.26	Millennium - Litija	32:23 ✺
25.02.26	Litija - Vrhnika	27:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.8 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 1 SRL Women
25.02.26	Litija - Vrhnika	27:22
07.02.26	Litija - Vrhnika	27:19

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