Match Info

AUSTRIA: HLA - Round 9

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Wiener Stadthalle - Halle B (Vienna)


	West Wien		Alpla Hard

	1	X	2
	3.9	11.5	1.36
	3.85	9.6	1.35
	4	9.58	1.4	Watch
	4	9.5	1.33
	4.03	9.1	1.36	Watch
	3.85	9.6	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.94 ↑ (3.48)	9.81 ↑ (8.5)	1.36 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

West Wien
23.3%

Draw
9.3%

Alpla Hard
67.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

10.7%

63.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

11%

61.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

West Wien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Alpla Hard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for West Wien than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alpla Hard than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alpla Hard, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

West Wien - Alpla Hard Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:31

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Lineups


25. Bernkop-Schnurch F.	23. Achilles J.
67. Bryslawski F.	3. Antanavicius K.
5. Derdak E.	22. Babic D.
13. Drager A.	17. Cirit J.
23. Edionwe B.	32. Doknic G.
37. Fruhstuck F.	47. Fritsch L.
70. Gareis L.	12. Gurskis L.
32. Huber B.	35. Hammerle M.
10. Kofler G.	99. Hild M.
97. Kofler J.	37. Horvat I.
2. Meleschnig C.	77. Luerzer J.
3. Mostl C.	39. Luerzer R.
77. Pajer P.	11. Runarsson T. S.
44. Pfeifer P.	19. Schnabl N.
31. Weik F.	9. Tokic A.
90. Wiegrefe B.	27. Wendel S.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches West Wien won 1.

Recent matches West Wien is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alpla Hard is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

West Wien could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Alpla Hard is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Alpla Hard to win the game is with odds 1.36.

Last 20 head-to-head matches West Wien won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 503:526 (average 25.2:26.3).

Including matches at home between the teams West Wien won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 232:225 (average 25.8:25).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Handball West Wien
Austrian NLA Handball
30.10.24	West Wien - Fivers Margareten	26:26 ✺
EHF European Cup
19.10.24	West Wien - VIF	30:34 ✺
18.10.24	VIF - West Wien	22:29 ✺
Austrian NLA Handball
13.10.24	West Wien - Linz	30:28 ✺
05.10.24	Tirol - West Wien	33:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TLWWL
- Alpla Hard
Austrian NLA Handball
25.10.24	Alpla Hard - Füchse	36:28 ✺
12.10.24	Bärnbach Köflach - Alpla Hard	26:30 ✺
04.10.24	Alpla Hard - HSG Graz	38:27 ✺
27.09.24	Alpla Hard - Krems	27:23 ✺
25.09.24	Fivers Margareten - Alpla Hard	29:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Austrian OHB Cup
21.04.23	West Wien - Alpla Hard	23:24
Austrian NLA Handball
03.02.23	West Wien - Alpla Hard	32:31
23.09.22	Alpla Hard - West Wien	26:26
Austrian OHB Cup
01.03.22	Alpla Hard - West Wien	26:25
Austrian NLA Handball
22.02.22	West Wien - Alpla Hard	25:30
09.10.21	Alpla Hard - West Wien	26:26
Austrian OHB Cup
24.04.21	West Wien - Alpla Hard	28:27 OT

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