Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - ROUND 14

Date: 7 March 2024, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Eurosport 1
Romania	Prima Sport 2


	Wisła Płock		Porto

	1	X	2
	1.27	11	5.5	Watch
	1.25	13	5.25
	1.23	11.5	5.46	Watch
	1.2	10	5.5
	1.26	11	5.37	Watch
	1.22	13	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.7)	11.58 ↑ (9)	5.51 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wisła Płock
75.1%

Draw
8%

Porto
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

10.4%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

10.6%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wisła Płock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wisła Płock's performance.

Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Porto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (-21%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wisła Płock that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+18.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Porto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Wisła Płock - Porto Predictions

Users Predictions: Wisła Płock will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:26

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Preview

Wisła Płock in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Porto is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Porto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Wisła Płock is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Wisła Płock to win the game is with odds 1.37.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wisła Płock won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 130-116.

Including matches at home between the teams Wisła Płock won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 55-45.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wisła Płock Handball
Polish Superliga Handball
02.03.24	Górnik Zabrze - Wisła Płock	22:24 ✺
EHF Champions League
28.02.24	GOG - Wisła Płock	32:32 ✺
Polish Superliga Handball
23.02.24	Wisła Płock - MMTS Kwidzyn	44:22 ✺
EHF Champions League
21.02.24	Wisła Płock - Montpellier HB	22:18 ✺
Polish Superliga Handball
18.02.24	Kalisz - Wisła Płock	19:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTWWW
- FC Porto Handball
Portuguese Andebol 1
02.03.24	Vitoria Setúbal - Porto	30:48 ✺
EHF Champions League
28.02.24	Porto - Celje Pivovarna Laško	32:30 ✺
Portuguese Andebol 1
25.02.24	Porto - ABC Braga	28:32 ✺
EHF Champions League
22.02.24	Barcelona - Porto	40:33 ✺
Portuguese Andebol 1
18.02.24	Benfica - Porto	28:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

EHF Champions League
14.09.23	Porto - Wisła Płock	24:23
02.03.23	Porto - Wisła Płock	27:28
15.09.22	Wisła Płock - Porto	27:23
21.11.13	Wisła Płock - Porto	28:22
16.11.13	Porto - Wisła Płock	20:24

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