Match Info

PORTUGAL: Andebol 1 - Round 16

Date: 11 December 2024, Wednesday


	Águas Santas		Madeira

	1	X	2
	2.55	10	1.65
	2.6	8.8	1.65	Watch
	2.68	8.34	1.68
	2.62	8.5	1.67
	2.8	7.9	1.66
	2.6	8.8	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.63)	8.72 ↑ (8)	1.66 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Águas Santas
34.6%

Draw
10.5%

Madeira
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

11.3%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

11.1%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Águas Santas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Madeira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águas Santas than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madeira than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Águas Santas - Madeira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:29

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Águas Santas won 2.

Águas Santas is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Madeira is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Águas Santas have a series of guest games.

Madeira will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Madeira to win the game is with odds 1.67.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Águas Santas won 13 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 566:545 (average 28.3:27.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Águas Santas won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 282:258 (average 28.2:25.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Associação Atlética de Águas Santas
Portuguese Andebol 1
07.12.24	ABC Braga - Águas Santas	29:28 ✺
30.11.24	Águas Santas - Belenenses	26:27 ✺
23.11.24	Avanca - Águas Santas	24:24 ✺
16.11.24	Sporting Lisbon - Águas Santas	36:28 ✺
02.11.24	Nazaré - Águas Santas	23:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLW
- Madeira Andebol SAD
Portuguese Andebol 1
07.12.24	Madeira - Nazaré	33:25 ✺
30.11.24	Póvoa - Madeira	26:33 ✺
23.11.24	Madeira - Sporting da Horta	30:23 ✺
15.11.24	Benfica - Madeira	35:25 ✺
02.11.24	Vitoria Guimarães - Madeira	30:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Andebol 1
28.09.24	Madeira - Águas Santas	31:26
18.05.24	Águas Santas - Madeira	30:37
20.04.24	Madeira - Águas Santas	32:32
02.12.23	Águas Santas - Madeira	22:20
16.09.23	Madeira - Águas Santas	25:27
01.04.23	Águas Santas - Madeira	33:27
29.10.22	Madeira - Águas Santas	32:30

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