Match Info

SPAIN: LIGA ASOBAL - ROUND 8

Date: 30 October 2022, Sunday


	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil		Cisne

	1	X	2
	1.4	9.5	4
	1.42	10.5	3.6
	1.38	8.5	3.95
	1.41	9.8	3.75
	1.4	10	3.75
	1.4	10	3.82	Watch
	1.4	9.6	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.51)	9.7 ↑ (8.68)	3.8 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil
66.1%

Draw
9.5%

Cisne
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

10.7%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

10.3%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Cisne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cisne than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.6%	5.6%	88.9%

Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Cisne Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Puente Genil will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). Cisne will win (votes: 16 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cisne: 74.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:29

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 10).

Puente Genil is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Cisne is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cisne could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Puente Genil is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Puente Genil won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 85-72.

Including matches at home between the teams Puente Genil won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 31-23.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
22.10.22	Anaitasuna - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	28:29 ✺
08.10.22	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Naturhouse La Rioja	30:31 ✺
01.10.22	Quabit Guadalajara - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	31:28 ✺
24.09.22	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Barcelona	31:43 ✺
18.09.22	Atlético Valladolid - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	33:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLLLL
- Club Cisne BM
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
23.10.22	Cisne - BM Huesca	27:32 ✺
07.10.22	BM Ciudad Encantada - Cisne	28:30 ✺
02.10.22	Cisne - BM Granollers	29:35 ✺
24.09.22	Reale Ademar - Cisne	39:32 ✺
17.09.22	Cisne - BM Sinfín	30:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga ASOBAL
29.05.21	Cisne - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	28:26
12.12.20	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Cisne	31:23
Spanish Copa del Rey Handball
15.10.19	Cisne - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	21:28

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