Match Info

Liga ASOBAL - Round 6

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil		Naturhouse La Rioja

	1	X	2
	5.00	10.00	1.30
	4.40	10.00	1.29
	4.50	11.00	1.30
	5	8.7	1.28
	4.48	10.50	1.31	Watch
	4.40	11.00	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.63 ↑ (4.45)	10.2 ↑ (9.46)	1.29 ↓ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 60.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil
19.9%

Draw
9%

Naturhouse La Rioja
71.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

20.7%

9.7%

69.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6%

8.2%

74.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Naturhouse La Rioja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naturhouse La Rioja than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Naturhouse La Rioja Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. La Rioja will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:32

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Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 15th in the Relegation - Division de Honor Plata and 4th in the Promotion - European League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puente Genil won 1.

Puente Genil is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

La Rioja is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

La Rioja may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

La Rioja carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Puente Genil has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 17 losses, with a goal aggregate of 562:624 (averaging 28.1:31.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Puente Genil against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with 288:319 goals (averaging 28.8:31.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
4	La Rioja	8	5	2	1	275:265	12
13	Puente Genil	7	1	1	5	198:232	3

Last Results with these Odds

Naturhouse La Rioja - the odds 1.32 are the expected chance of winning is 69.62%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
11.10.26	Atlético Valladolid - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	33:24 ✺
03.10.26	Bidasoa Irun - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	31:25 ✺
26.09.26	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Torrelavega	28:35 ✺
20.09.26	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Barcelona	27:39 ✺
12.09.26	Proin - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	30:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLLW
- Naturhouse La Rioja Logrono
EHF European League
13.10.26	Wybrzeże Gdańsk - Naturhouse La Rioja	30:30 ✺
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
09.10.26	BM Ciudad Encantada - Naturhouse La Rioja	32:36 ✺
EHF European League
06.10.26	Naturhouse La Rioja - Gummersbach	30:34 ✺
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
03.10.26	Naturhouse La Rioja - Alser Puerto Sagunto	36:32 ✺
EHF European League
30.09.26	Eurofarm Pelister - Naturhouse La Rioja	24:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga ASOBAL
26.04.26	Naturhouse La Rioja - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	31:24
30.11.25	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Naturhouse La Rioja	39:42
20.04.25	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Naturhouse La Rioja	26:28
24.11.24	Naturhouse La Rioja - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	33:34
05.04.24	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Naturhouse La Rioja	24:31
08.11.23	Naturhouse La Rioja - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	24:21
25.03.23	Naturhouse La Rioja - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	32:30

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