Match Info

Liga ASOBAL - Round 11

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	LaLiga+


	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil		Naturhouse La Rioja

	1	X	2
	4.5	10	1.35	Watch
	4.1	11	1.31
	4.18	11	1.33	Watch
	4.5	11	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.32 ↑ (4.29)	10.75 ↑ (9.83)	1.33 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil
21.5%

Draw
8.6%

Naturhouse La Rioja
69.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

9.4%

69.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

9.5%

68.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Naturhouse La Rioja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naturhouse La Rioja than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Naturhouse La Rioja Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. La Rioja will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:32

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Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ European League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puente Genil won 1.

Puente Genil has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

La Rioja is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Puente Genil may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, La Rioja is seen as the favorite.

We predict that La Rioja will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Puente Genil won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 16 matches, and goals 557:615. (average 27.9:30.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Puente Genil won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 249:277. (average 27.7:30.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
23.11.25	Torrelavega - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	32:27 ✺
15.11.25	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Quabit Guadalajara	33:29 ✺
08.11.25	Barcelona - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	41:29 ✺
24.10.25	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - BM Huesca	37:36 ✺
19.10.25	Nava - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	24:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWLWW
- Naturhouse La Rioja Logrono
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
22.11.25	Naturhouse La Rioja - Caserio Ciudad Real	38:35 ✺
15.11.25	Bidasoa Irun - Naturhouse La Rioja	28:32 ✺
08.11.25	Naturhouse La Rioja - BM Granollers	33:29 ✺
26.10.25	Morrazo Cangas - Naturhouse La Rioja	26:30 ✺
19.10.25	Naturhouse La Rioja - Villa de Aranda	42:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga ASOBAL
20.04.25	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Naturhouse La Rioja	26:28
24.11.24	Naturhouse La Rioja - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	33:34
05.04.24	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Naturhouse La Rioja	24:31
08.11.23	Naturhouse La Rioja - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	24:21
25.03.23	Naturhouse La Rioja - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	32:30
08.10.22	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Naturhouse La Rioja	30:31
05.03.22	Naturhouse La Rioja - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	33:30

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