Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Ässät U20		HIFK U20

	1	X	2
	3.20	4.40	1.65
	2.88	4.01	1.96
	2.97	4.42	1.91	Watch
	2.85	3.95	1.94
	2.93	4.10	1.95
	2.90	4.10	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↓ (2.97)	4.16 ↓ (4.42)	1.88 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ässät U20
30.5%

Draw
21.6%

HIFK U20
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

20.8%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

22.5%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ässät U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

HIFK U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ässät U20 than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HIFK U20 than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Ässät U20 - HIFK U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ässät U20 won 4.

Ässät U20 is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

HIFK U20 is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

HIFK U20 is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Our forecast points to a victory for HIFK U20 in today's match, at odds of 1.93.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ässät U20 has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 69:69 (averaging 3.5:3.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ässät U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 35:26 goals (averaging 3.2:2.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	IFK Helsinki U20	12	7	1	2	2	41:25	25
14	Assat U20	12	1	4	1	6	32:39	12

Last Results with these Odds

HIFK U20 - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 48.19%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ässät U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
02.10.26	Tappara U20 - Ässät U20	4:2 ✺
27.09.26	Ässät U20 - Ilves U20	1:3 ✺
26.09.26	Ässät U20 - TPS U20	2:1 penalties ✺
20.09.26	SaiPa U20 - Ässät U20	4:3 penalties ✺
19.09.26	KooKoo U20 - Ässät U20	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWLL
- HIFK U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
02.10.26	Vaasan Sport U20 - HIFK U20	2:4 ✺
27.09.26	HIFK U20 - RoKi U20	6:1 ✺
26.09.26	HIFK U20 - Kiekko-Espoo U20	3:0
20.09.26	HIFK U20 - KalPa U20	2:3 AET ✺
19.09.26	Mikkelin Jukurit U20 - HIFK U20	1:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
10.01.26	HIFK U20 - Ässät U20	1:7
15.11.25	Ässät U20 - HIFK U20	4:0
11.10.25	Ässät U20 - HIFK U20	7:1
20.09.25	HIFK U20 - Ässät U20	4:3
23.11.24	Ässät U20 - HIFK U20	3:1
13.09.24	HIFK U20 - Ässät U20	4:5
09.12.23	HIFK U20 - Ässät U20	6:3

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