Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday


	HIFK U20		KalPa U20

	1	X	2
	1.58	4.50	3.45
	1.38	5.86	4.70
	1.62	4.83	3.8	Watch
	1.36	5.80	4.65
	1.31	5.70	6.28
	1.33	5.00	6.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.62)	5.28 ↑ (4.36)	4.81 ↑ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

HIFK U20
63.8%

Draw
17.3%

KalPa U20
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

20.6%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

22%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HIFK U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in HIFK U20's performance.

KalPa U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and KalPa U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HIFK U20 than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with HIFK U20 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KalPa U20 than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that KalPa U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

HIFK U20 - KalPa U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 1)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HIFK U20 won 2.

HIFK U20 has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

KalPa U20 has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Recently, HIFK U20 has faced a series of away games on the road.

HIFK U20 carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Our forecast points to a victory for HIFK U20 in today's match, at odds of 1.62.

In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, HIFK U20 has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 69:71 (averaging 3.6:3.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for HIFK U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 41:31 goals (averaging 4.1:3.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	IFK Helsinki U20	12	7	1	2	2	41:25	25
9	KalPa U20	10	2	5	0	3	33:31	16

Last Results with these Odds

KalPa U20 - the odds 3.72 are the expected chance of winning is 24.09%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HIFK U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
19.09.26	Mikkelin Jukurit U20 - HIFK U20	1:2 OT ✺
12.09.26	RoKi U20 - HIFK U20	2:5 ✺
11.09.26	Kärpät U20 - HIFK U20	0:5 ✺
05.09.26	HIFK U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	3:2 ✺
04.09.26	Lukko U20 - HIFK U20	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWL
- KalPa U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
19.09.26	HPK U20 - KalPa U20	4:2 ✺
12.09.26	KalPa U20 - Lukko U20	1:3 ✺
09.09.26	KalPa U20 - Tappara U20	4:3 AET ✺
05.09.26	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - KalPa U20	1:6 ✺
04.09.26	Jokerit U20 - KalPa U20	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
28.09.25	KalPa U20 - HIFK U20	5:6 OT
05.09.25	HIFK U20 - KalPa U20	3:4
08.03.25	HIFK U20 - KalPa U20	6:2
25.10.24	KalPa U20 - HIFK U20	6:3
19.01.24	HIFK U20 - KalPa U20	4:6
03.11.23	KalPa U20 - HIFK U20	4:3 OT
24.09.22	KalPa U20 - HIFK U20	3:2 OT

Upcoming Matches