Match Info

D1 - Round 27

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Épinal		Lyon

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.13	4.75	2.39
	1.59	4.67	4.07	Watch
	2.2	4.2	2.38
	2.23	4.25	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.22)	4.47 ↑ (4.31)	2.8 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Épinal
45.8%

Draw
20.9%

Lyon
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

21%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

22.1%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Épinal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Épinal than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Épinal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lyon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Épinal - Lyon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
3rd Period (1 - 2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Épinal won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Épinal won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 50:46. (average 3.3:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Épinal won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 3.2:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
8	Lyon	2	1	0	0	1	6:5	3
14	Epinal	2	0	0	1	1	6:8	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Épinal HC
French D1 Ice Hockey
14.02.26	SOC Hockey sur Glace - Épinal	2:3 ✺
07.02.26	Morzine-Avoriaz - Épinal	7:4 ✺
03.02.26	Épinal - Diables Rouges de Valenciennes	4:5 ✺
31.01.26	Neuilly-sur-Marne - Épinal	1:7 ✺
24.01.26	Épinal - Dogs de Cholet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLLWW
- Lyon HC
French D1 Ice Hockey
14.02.26	Morzine-Avoriaz - Lyon	2:3 ✺
07.02.26	Diables Rouges de Valenciennes - Lyon	2:10 ✺
03.02.26	Lyon - Neuilly-sur-Marne	3:1 ✺
24.01.26	Lyon - Strasbourg	6:7 OT ✺
20.01.26	Drakkars de Caen - Lyon	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

French D1 Ice Hockey
06.12.25	Lyon - Épinal	4:5
French Ligue Magnus
24.01.18	Lyon - Épinal	0:5
23.01.18	Lyon - Épinal	6:4
23.12.17	Épinal - Lyon	2:0
29.10.17	Épinal - Lyon	3:2
05.02.17	Lyon - Épinal	4:1
06.01.17	Épinal - Lyon	3:4 OT

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